There is absolutely no chance Republicans can win a statewide election in New Jersey in a Presidential Election Year.
I disagree though on NJ. Guiliani is in good position to win NJ, if he is up against Clinton in '08. That could drive enough votes to elect a Republican like Tom Kean Jr. Lautenberg is too old and seems to be out of touch with NJ to win if Guiliani is running for Preisdent in '08.
I agree that Giuliani does have a good shot at winning New Jersey,
should he win the GOP nomination (yes, I'm still waiting for some guy to fill that void on the GOP 2008 bench) but my money will be on the Democrats retaining the Senate seat despite the fact that Lautenberg has never topped 54% in any of his four Senate races and has poor approval ratings
Indeed, no Republican has won election to the Senate since Clifford P. Case was elected to his fourth term in 1972
Furthermore, the Class 1 seat (for which Lautenberg served three consecutive terms from 1983 to 2001) has been continuously Democratic since 1959, with the exception of a brief period in 1982 when Nicholas F. Brady served as an interim appointment; while the Class 2 (Lautenberg's since 2003) seat has been continuously Democratic since Bill Bradley was elected in 1978
My advice to Republicans is: "Don't build your hopes up"
Dave
