Largest city to vote for Bush?

[Alcon]

We've had this topic before...

1. New York City - confirmed Kerry
2. Los Angeles - confirmed Kerry
3. Chicago - confirmed Kerry
4. Houston - likely Kerry
5. Philadelphia - confirmed Kerry
6. Phoenix - likely Kerry
7. San Diego - confirmed Kerry
8. San Antonio - likely Kerry
9. Dallas - very likely Kerry
10. San Jose - confirmed Kerry
11. Detroit - confirmed Kerry
12. Indianapolis - obviously Kerry
13. Jacksonville - obviously Bush

I'd say Jacksonville, although I can't confirm Houston, Phoenix, San Antonio or Dallas.

[Alcon]

All I can confirm Kerry, nclib, except:

Fort Worth, TX - Bush, I imagine
Louisville/Jefferson County (balance), KY - obviously Kerry
Oklahoma City, OK - obviously Bush
Fresno, CA - confirmed Bush
Virginia Beah, VA - confirmed Bush
Mesa, AZ - confirmed Bush (and rather strongly so)
Omaha, NE - not sure...I think it was Bush
Tulsa, OK - reasonably sure it's Bush
Colorado Springs, CO - confirmed Bush
Arlington, TX - nearly certain Bush

[Alcon]

San Antonio did vote for Bush, I can gaurentee you that!

You are correct on every estimate there. I know Mesa Arizona voted for Bush!! But Phoenix did vote for Kerry. Maricopa County is one interesting county.... it is Republican but a lot of them feel like moderate republicans in a sense..

That was not inluding the top 13, btw.  I think San Antonio probably voted Bush too.

Phoenix's precinct results are really, really hard to unravel, but I think Phoenix proper probably voted Kerry.

[Alcon]

What about Tampa?

Solidly Kerry.

My records indicate 57%-43%.

[Alcon]

Alcon, how solidly was Miami for Kerry? Was it less Democratic than the county? I wasn't sure of the results due to the high Cuban population.

Miami-Dade doesn't have precinct-to-municipality information in any form I can find, but I emailed them.  I'll tell you when I get a response. 

[Alcon]

I'm not sure but from what I know Miami-Dade went for Kerry by a much less higher margin then it went for Gore back in 2000.

Not really.  It was actually a nearly identical margin each time, with Bush only slightly gaining - well below national average.

[Alcon]

Bush did make pretty significant gains in Broward (which is just Broward, not Miami-Broward)...not huge, but above national average. 

[Alcon]

Bush did make pretty significant gains in Broward (which is just Broward, not Miami-Broward)...not huge, but above national average. 

I thought Broward and Dade combined? I remember their being an amendment that passed (i voted against) where two counties merged.

Um...the only thing that come to mind are the 1997 name change from Dade County to Miami-Dade County, or the consolidated city-county of Jacksonville (with exceptions of other already-incorporated areas)...but, no, no Florida counties have changed in ages.

[Alcon]

Uh wait, Fresno/County is a Republican stronghold. San Bernandino and Riverside are also very Republican.

Welcome to the forums. 

Fresno itself is not what I'd call a "stronghold," although it does certainly have a GOP lean.  Bush won it 51.8%-47.3%, which means it could theoretically flip with a Democratic win.

San Bernardino County may be a Republican stronghold, but the city itself is Democratic-leaning.  Then again, its turnout is also horrible - the city of San Bernardino has a voting population about 1.5 times as large as Rancho Cucamonga's, but regularly casts only about three-quarters as many votes.

Riverside, too, is more moderate than its county - 52.0%-46.7%.  Not a stronghold, but indeed Republian.

Bakersfield, on the other hand, is hyper-Republian - Kerry barely got one-third of the vote.  Pretty damn impressive for a city of nearly 300,000.

But they are all smaller, so the answer to this still almost certainly remains Jacksonville.

[Alcon]

I am convinced San Antonio is the largest city to vote for Bush.

Oops, I forgot about that.  I'll call them tomorrow to see if I can get a precinct list for 2004.

[Alcon]

(sorry for digging) ROFL Wikipedia's saying that Dallas voted 1.4% for Bush.

It uses two sources:

1. The county results.  Which are obviously not the city results, and are what it's quoting.  (Bad Wikipedia, bad.)

2. A study that says Dallas cast 75% of votes for liberal candidates.  The study does seem to have some flaws, though.  The city of Vancouver, Washington, even considering split precincts in outlaying areas, did not vote for Bush as claimed.