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+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Election Predictions (Moderator: muon2)
| | |-+  2008 Presidential Predictions (search mode)
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Latest 2008 Predictions (Highest Scores)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
whoblitzell (I-JPN)Map 11-04 87 D +112 174 (-112) 364 (+112) 0 (0) 16
EarlAW (D-ON)MapProfile 11-04 53 D +86 200 (-86) 338 (+86) 0 (0) 0
Political Lefty (D-CA)MapProfile 11-03 7 D +126 160 (-126) 378 (+126) 0 (0) 0
Ryne (I-WA)MapProfile 11-03 6 D +112 174 (-112) 364 (+112) 0 (0) 0
Jyrki (G-FRA)MapProfile 11-03 1 D +123 163 (-123) 375 (+123) 0 (0) 0
PoliticalJunkie (I-WI)Map 11-03 20 D +112 174 (-112) 364 (+112) 0 (0) 0
Aguagon (D-AZ)MapProfile 11-03 13 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 0
Sheliak5 (D-OH)MapProfile 11-03 54 D +127 159 (-127) 379 (+127) 0 (0) 2
FrenchEd (D-NJ)Map 11-03 64 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 12
iammucow (G-NC)MapProfile 11-03 17 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2008 Predictions (Most Recent Entries)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
TX_1824 (C-TX)MapProfile 11-04 12 D +13 273 (-13) 265 (+13) 0 (0) 7
Hyperfast (D-FL)MapProfile 11-04 16 D +123 163 (-123) 375 (+123) 0 (0) 0
AntonioV (D-CA)MapProfile 11-04 9 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 6
nyquil_man (D-AR)MapProfile 11-04 25 D +112 174 (-112) 364 (+112) 0 (0) 1
tyguy (R-GA)Map 11-04 18 D +26 260 (-26) 278 (+26) 0 (0) 0
cmaff05 (D-WV)MapProfile 11-04 1 D +92 194 (-92) 344 (+92) 0 (0) 0
eridniel (--MD)Map 11-04 16 D +112 174 (-112) 364 (+112) 0 (0) 0
DasKaek (I-IN)Map 11-04 15 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 2
CardinalWraith (D-CA)Map 11-04 13 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 1
byelf2007 (D-WA)MapProfile 11-04 40 D +97 189 (-97) 349 (+97) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2008 Predictions (Most Recent Comments)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
bonncaruso (D-DEU)
by FrenchEd on 2009-05-06 @ 08:41:48
MapProfile 11-04 75 D +123 163 (-123) 375 (+123) 0 (0) 103
CR (--MO)
by faye3 on 2009-02-24 @ 15:33:40
Map 11-03 44 R +4 290 (+4) 248 (-4) 0 (0) 164
tmthforu94 (R-KS)
by tmthforu94 on 2009-02-15 @ 19:16:25
MapProfile 11-03 67 D +9 277 (-9) 261 (+9) 0 (0) 8
FrenchEd (D-NJ)
by FrenchEd on 2009-02-11 @ 05:28:59
Map 11-03 64 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 12
AntonioV (D-CA)
by AntonioV on 2009-01-03 @ 04:34:13
MapProfile 11-04 9 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 6
dnul222 (D-MN)
by dnul222 on 2008-12-24 @ 06:59:29
Map 11-03 83 D +74 212 (-74) 326 (+74) 0 (0) 15
Chica_Of_Light (D-CA)
by FrenchEd on 2008-12-22 @ 17:03:32
Map 10-30 80 R +154 440 (+154) 98 (-154) 0 (0) 124
Sheliak5 (D-OH)
by FrenchEd on 2008-12-22 @ 16:54:47
MapProfile 11-03 54 D +127 159 (-127) 379 (+127) 0 (0) 2
whoblitzell (I-JPN)
by FrenchEd on 2008-12-22 @ 16:48:57
Map 11-04 87 D +112 174 (-112) 364 (+112) 0 (0) 16
wingindy (I-IN)
by dnul222 on 2008-12-18 @ 19:30:18
Map 11-03 22 D +123 163 (-123) 375 (+123) 0 (0) 48
Latest Discussion Topics
Author Topic: 2008 Presidential Predictions  (Read 51271 times)
Dave Leip
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« on: May 17, 2007, 08:47:53 pm »

With the early nature of the 2008 Presidential Contest, I've gone ahead and created the 2008 Presidential Predictions section early as well.  Try it out and write some words about your early prognostications - who do you expect to be the candidates of the major parties? - how will the states vote? - will there be a strong independent?  Please let me know if you find any issues with the scripts.
Thanks and enjoy,
Dave
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #1 on: May 17, 2007, 09:24:30 pm »

Glad you like it.  My next atlas feature will be to add the 2008 polling script - I'll attempt to build a Primary version for D & R first followed by the general version.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #2 on: May 18, 2007, 12:07:44 pm »

Prediction icon is now below your name - furthest map to the left.

BTW, with the version control nature of the scripts, you can create different versions for different scenarios of candidates if you like (note: only one different version is saved per day to reduce spamming). 

I'm also a bit surprised that the so many predictions to date show the Northeast (esp. CT, NH, ME, and NJ) to not be in play.  Note though, I don't know whom most of the D&R candidates are predicted to be - I suggest that in the analysis section, at least add the names of the candidates for your prediction maps.

Enjoy,
Dave
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #3 on: May 18, 2007, 02:27:26 pm »

Hi,
The maps are compiled from the "most recent entries" - from those predictions made in the last several weeks prior to the election.  I'll have to check to find out how many that was - maybe I'll update the script so that the statistics show the most recent figures as well.
Thanks,
Dave
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #4 on: June 08, 2007, 01:08:19 pm »

I've found a slight error in the median calculation algorithm (has to do with independents being added to the script).  I believe I've fixed issue that sets the map winner incorrectly when the states are close and an independent candidate has more than 0 wins.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #5 on: June 19, 2007, 11:48:22 am »

I would like to start making forecasts as well (but can't access it), could you link my forum account to the atlas please?

You are already linked (see the predictions for Senate below your avatar).  What error do you receive when you try to create your prediction?
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #6 on: October 24, 2007, 10:51:42 am »

Hi,
I've made a few small maintenance edits to the prediction scripts.  Please let me know if you find anything out-of-the-ordinary.
Thanks,
Dave
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #7 on: January 08, 2008, 12:16:44 pm »

Note,
I have corrected an issue showing up with the Republican Primary prediction script that did not default the predicted winner of each state to your previous choice (colors were right, but wrong button was selected - always U).  I've corrected this malfunction.
Dave
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