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  Atlas Forum
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election Predictions (Moderator: muon2)
  2008 Presidential Predictions (search mode)
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Latest 2008 Predictions (Highest Scores)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
whoblitzell (I-JPN)Map 11-04 87 D +112 174 (-112) 364 (+112) 0 (0) 16
EarlAW (D-ON)MapProfile 11-04 53 D +86 200 (-86) 338 (+86) 0 (0) 0
Political Lefty (D-CA)MapProfile 11-03 7 D +126 160 (-126) 378 (+126) 0 (0) 0
Ryne (R-WA)MapProfile 11-03 6 D +112 174 (-112) 364 (+112) 0 (0) 0
Jyrki (G-FRA)MapProfile 11-03 1 D +123 163 (-123) 375 (+123) 0 (0) 0
PoliticalJunkie (I-WI)Map 11-03 20 D +112 174 (-112) 364 (+112) 0 (0) 0
Aguagon (D-AZ)MapProfile 11-03 13 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 0
Sheliak5 (D-OH)MapProfile 11-03 54 D +127 159 (-127) 379 (+127) 0 (0) 2
FrenchEd (D-NJ)Map 11-03 64 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 12
iammucow (G-NC)MapProfile 11-03 17 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2008 Predictions (Most Recent Entries)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
TX_1824 (C-TX)MapProfile 11-04 12 D +13 273 (-13) 265 (+13) 0 (0) 7
Hyperfast (D-FL)MapProfile 11-04 16 D +123 163 (-123) 375 (+123) 0 (0) 0
AntonioV (D-CA)MapProfile 11-04 9 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 6
nyquil_man (D-AR)MapProfile 11-04 25 D +112 174 (-112) 364 (+112) 0 (0) 1
tyguy (R-GA)Map 11-04 18 D +26 260 (-26) 278 (+26) 0 (0) 0
cmaff05 (D-WV)MapProfile 11-04 1 D +92 194 (-92) 344 (+92) 0 (0) 0
eridniel (--MD)Map 11-04 16 D +112 174 (-112) 364 (+112) 0 (0) 0
DasKaek (I-IN)Map 11-04 15 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 2
CardinalWraith (D-CA)Map 11-04 13 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 1
byelf2007 (D-WA)MapProfile 11-04 40 D +97 189 (-97) 349 (+97) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2008 Predictions (Most Recent Comments)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
bonncaruso (D-DEU)
by FrenchEd on 2009-05-06 @ 08:41:48
MapProfile 11-04 75 D +123 163 (-123) 375 (+123) 0 (0) 103
CR (--MO)
by faye3 on 2009-02-24 @ 15:33:40
Map 11-03 44 R +4 290 (+4) 248 (-4) 0 (0) 164
tmthforu94 (R-KS)
by tmthforu94 on 2009-02-15 @ 19:16:25
MapProfile 11-03 67 D +9 277 (-9) 261 (+9) 0 (0) 8
FrenchEd (D-NJ)
by FrenchEd on 2009-02-11 @ 05:28:59
Map 11-03 64 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 12
AntonioV (D-CA)
by AntonioV on 2009-01-03 @ 04:34:13
MapProfile 11-04 9 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 6
dnul222 (D-MN)
by dnul222 on 2008-12-24 @ 06:59:29
Map 11-03 83 D +74 212 (-74) 326 (+74) 0 (0) 15
Chica_Of_Light (D-CA)
by FrenchEd on 2008-12-22 @ 17:03:32
Map 10-30 80 R +154 440 (+154) 98 (-154) 0 (0) 124
Sheliak5 (D-OH)
by FrenchEd on 2008-12-22 @ 16:54:47
MapProfile 11-03 54 D +127 159 (-127) 379 (+127) 0 (0) 2
whoblitzell (I-JPN)
by FrenchEd on 2008-12-22 @ 16:48:57
Map 11-04 87 D +112 174 (-112) 364 (+112) 0 (0) 16
wingindy (I-IN)
by dnul222 on 2008-12-18 @ 19:30:18
Map 11-03 22 D +123 163 (-123) 375 (+123) 0 (0) 48
Latest Discussion Topics
Author Topic: 2008 Presidential Predictions  (Read 52517 times)
Harry Hayfield
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,941
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: 0.00

« on: June 19, 2007, 09:02:26 am »

I would like to start making forecasts as well (but can't access it), could you link my forum account to the atlas please?
Logged
Harry Hayfield
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,941
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: 0.00

« Reply #1 on: June 19, 2007, 05:17:26 pm »

I'd not put a space in my username!!!
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Harry Hayfield
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,941
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: 0.00

« Reply #2 on: February 08, 2008, 05:52:25 am »
« Edited: February 09, 2008, 03:49:42 pm by Harry Hayfield »

Republicans: My current score is 33 points (21 correct state projections and 12 % vote projections)
Democrats: My current score is 16 points (13 correct state projections and 3 % vote projections)

NBC projects Huckabee wins KS.
Logged
Harry Hayfield
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,941
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: 0.00

« Reply #3 on: June 02, 2008, 11:01:23 am »

You know, I'm going to miss these primary elections when they finish on Tuesday. This is the first full primary calendar I have seen from start to finish and kept a video record of  (Thanks Sky + and a DVD recorder) and I wonder what I am going to do for the next 24 Tuesdays until polling day!

By the way, when all the results are in, can we get a list of the positions of everyone who entered the prediction contest. I have a feeling I did better on the GOP nomination than the Dem.
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Harry Hayfield
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,941
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: 0.00

« Reply #4 on: November 08, 2008, 08:35:14 am »

In terms of state wins at least 48 (I'd be suprised if anyone thought Indiana would flip). I can't remember whether I said Missouri or North Carolina would flip or not. If I did then at least 49 if not then still 49.

As to the percentage element, not a clue! I actually think the percentage element is more difficult and should be scrapped in favour of the strong, lean, tossup buttons. Strong would be a lead of more than 10%, lean between 5% and 10% and tossup less than 5% lead, with 1 point awarded for strong, 3 points for lean and 5 points for tossup.
Logged
Harry Hayfield
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,941
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: 0.00

« Reply #5 on: November 11, 2008, 01:30:28 pm »

Having now found my projection, I can score mine:

Image Link

State Wins: 47 out of 51 (wrong: IN, NC. MO, WV but got NE-2 right. Thanks NBC News)
% Wins:34 out of 51 (wrong: CA, ID, AZ, MT, NM, ND, NE, KS, MO, AR, IL, MI, DC, CT, RI, MA, VT)

Total Score: 81 out of 102 (5 congressional districts not counted)
% Score: 79.4%
% Score 2004: 79.5%
Change: -0.1%

(Any chance of a prize for least change since 2004???)
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