Would FDR have won a fifth term?
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Would FDR have won a fifth term?
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Poll
Question: Would he have won in 1948
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
#3
Don't Know
 
#4
Wouldn't have run
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 30

Author Topic: Would FDR have won a fifth term?  (Read 4601 times)
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« on: May 29, 2007, 09:41:32 AM »

FDR died just a month and a half into his fourth term, but if he had still been living, would he have won in 1948?  Would he have even run?
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Wakie
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« Reply #1 on: May 29, 2007, 11:02:27 AM »

He wouldn't have run.  But if he had run he would have won.
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Jaggerjack
Fabian_the_Fastman
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« Reply #2 on: May 29, 2007, 06:29:30 PM »

He wouldn't have run.  But if he had run he would have won.
Who knows. Maybe he'd have lost a couple more states, but he'd still be insanely popular.
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CPT MikeyMike
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« Reply #3 on: May 29, 2007, 07:07:17 PM »

It would be closer but FDR probably would have won like this.



FDR: 378
Standard GOP (Dewey, Warren, Taft, etc):153
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #4 on: May 29, 2007, 09:29:57 PM »

The victory in WWII wouldve given FDR moe than enough room to score a fifth term, and by that point, he wouldve been iconic enough to pretty much run it out Julius Caesar style.
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MaC
Milk_and_cereal
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« Reply #5 on: May 30, 2007, 01:22:56 AM »

Everything would depend on how many political enemies he made on his last term.
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Robespierre's Jaw
Senator Conor Flynn
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: May 30, 2007, 11:40:13 PM »

FDR wouldn't have won a fifth term, had he have ran. If he wouldn't have ran, the Republicans would have taken back the White House.
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Dr. Cynic
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« Reply #7 on: May 31, 2007, 12:13:51 AM »

He wouldn't have won... He expressed a want to see the end of WWII, and he explicitly stated he wouldn't run again...

He would've won if he wanted it though... No one from that era could be the master politician. Not Dewey, not Taft, not Warren, not any of them.
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12th Doctor
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« Reply #8 on: May 31, 2007, 01:45:42 AM »

I'm going to break the trend and say no.  All things considered, Dewey did pretty well in 1944, in fact, the war is probably the only reason he didn't defeat FDR.  That's a big reason, but I don't think a post-war America would like FDR anymore just because the war was over.  Also, people in post-war America would not have thought too much of FDR's "let's just do it now and worry about the results later" style.  People would have wanted spending reigned in, and they would not have taken well to any grand expiriments in any other areas.  The reason people liked Truman was because he brought the economy under control and calmed the country down while providing a model for stability.  Even if FDR were in good health, people would have been ready for someone else.  I think FDR goes down in a narrow, but still clear defeat to Taft, Warren (who would have won by the widest margin) or Dewey.
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Lincoln Republican
Winfield
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« Reply #9 on: June 03, 2007, 08:06:35 PM »

FDR would have lost to Dewey or Taft.

America would absolutely not accept any President for a fifth consecutive term.

By that time, it would appear to be more of a monarchy than a republic.
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True Democrat
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« Reply #10 on: June 03, 2007, 08:10:25 PM »

I'm leaning towards saying he's winning but I can definitely see him losing in Churchillian style.
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