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Author Topic: New Zealand 2008  (Read 974 times)
YaBB God
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« on: June 03, 2007, 01:43:56 am »

Looks like a National landslide coming up...


National 50.9%
Labour 33.6%
Greens 6.1%
NZ First 3.2%
Maori 1.7%

17:40   oakvale   the people are bad and shouldn't be allowed vote whenever possible
17:40   oakvale   The average voter wants to end austerity, bring back hanging and put all immigrants in death
YaBB God
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« Reply #1 on: June 03, 2007, 10:42:55 am »

Labour's been pretty good at rebounding in the past. It was expected that they would lose in 2005, but they held on. Most of National's gains come as a result of the collapse of ACT and United Future (and NZ First somewhat), not from Labour.
militant centrist
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« Reply #2 on: June 03, 2007, 11:08:56 am »

The very poor showing of the smaller parties in the poll is what stands out to me. I wouldn't take too much notice of the National lead; it is mid-term after all.

I think New Zealand's experience of PR since 1996 parallels that in Scotland since 1999. There was an initial surge of support for smaller parties (United Future, NZ First, Alliance, ACT and the Greens in NZ; the Greens, the Scottish Socialists, the Senior Citizens' Unity Party and various independents in Scotland). However, over time, politics is returning to a natural two-party rivalry - Labour v National in NZ; SNP v Labour in Scotland.

Clowns to the left of me, jokers to the right; here I am, stuck in the middle with you

Economic -2.2, Social / foreign policy +4.2
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YaBB God
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« Reply #3 on: June 04, 2007, 01:47:45 am »

Okay, this is getting a bit ridiculous. We're still in June 2007!

"The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed and hence clamorous to be led to safety by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary." H.L. Mencken

NO, I don't want to go back to Fantasy Elections.
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