Harris Poll Leaders, as of June 14/07, face off in the general. Who wins?

[Lincoln Republican]

Harris Poll June 14/07 leaders

Republican
Rudy Giuliani/Fred Thompson

Vs

Democrat
Hillary Clinton/Barack Obama

How does this Presidential election go?

Maps? 

[Lincoln Republican]

Anybody?

[auburntiger]

To be completely honest and as unbiasd as possible, it will be a squeaker no matter who the candidates are. The average American voter does not like Hillary Clinton. I think Hannity put it very well... "Americans want the Democratic Party, but want the Republican Candidates." That said, I think it will all boil down to which candidate they like best, and that would be Rudy in this case, and he wins 279-259

Here is how the following states will break down:

Closest Rudy states in this order: OH, NM, AR, WV, MO, CO 
Closest Hillary states in this order: IA, PA, WI, NH, NJ, OR

Other noted states: NY = Hillary by 12-13
                              FL = Rudy by 7-8, Rudy might get 40% in Broward Co.
                              VA = Rudy by 7-8 depending on NoVA
                              MI = Hillary by 4-5
                              GA, SC = Rudy breaks 60%
                         

Reasonable??

On second thought, maybe I should switch the colors of NV and CO. It seems like CO is more GOP on the Pres. level

[HappyWarrior]

I think that the election would go to Clinton/Obama, if only because they feel dissaticfied with their choice in the last election.  Also, most people don't like Rudy any more than Hillary.  He's very easily angered and firey.  Most people will probably like Hillary more as the time goes on, she's extremely personable even if she's just as ambitious.  Obama will make her even more likable too.

[Reaganfan]

I think that the election would go to Clinton/Obama, if only because they feel dissaticfied with their choice in the last election.  Also, most people don't like Rudy any more than Hillary.  He's very easily angered and firey.  Most people will probably like Hillary more as the time goes on, she's extremely personable even if she's just as ambitious.  Obama will make her even more likable too.

More people like Rudy than Hillary.

[gorkay]

Without breaking it down state-by-state, I would guess that Clinton/Obama would win narrowly. But neither ticket makes sense. For one thing, it's going to be more or less mandatory for Hillary to pick a white male as her running mate; for another, it would make more sense for her to pick someone who gave the ticket more ideological diversity. Despite their current feuding, there isn't that much difference between the two ideologically. The third thing that argues against picking Obama is that he's from a state the Democrats would be favored to win anyway, so he doesn't strengthen the ticket geographically.

Giuliani/Thompson makes a bit more sense, as it does meet the ideological-diversity test. But the south is the GOP's strongest region, and although Giuliani might not be the south's favorite Republican candidate, it would still make more sense for Rudy to pick someone who would help him in a region where he appears weak.