FL: Cherry Communications: Trump +9, +9

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Florida President by Cherry Communications on 2024-05-07

Summary: D: 37%, R: 46%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Redban]

Remember - the Biden stooges are flexing that Biden is staffing up in Florida. Don't be surprised if they unskew this poll to tell us that Biden is down by only 2% in Florida

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=586741.0

[2016]

Remember - the Biden stooges are flexing that Biden is staffing up in Florida. Don't be surprised if they come in this thread to unskew this poll to tell us that Biden is down by only 2% in Florida

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=586741.0

It's over for them. Trump gets 58 % of Florida Hispanics. Trump got 47 % in 2020 per FL EXIT POLLS. An 11-Point Swing towards Trump. For sure he'll win Miami-Dade County with those sort of Numbers.

[SnowLabrador]

Sounds reasonable. I don't think it'll be R+20 this year, but Florida is gone.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Remember - the Biden stooges are flexing that Biden is staffing up in Florida. Don't be surprised if they come in this thread to unskew this poll to tell us that Biden is down by only 2% in Florida

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=586741.0

Trump is an insurrection, that gives giant tax cuts to oil Corporation, Jerry Jones endorsed Trump because he gets oil tax cuts there is no Biden stooges

[2016]

Sounds reasonable. I don't think it'll be R+20 this year, but Florida is gone.

A Florida Win for Trump almost ensures that we will be waiting a long time before the Presidential Race is settled again because I don't think he'll lose Texas, Ohio, Iowa and North Carolina either.

We're going to have to wait for Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania and possibly Arizona and Nevada to come in.

2024 could be the year where the Senate is called earlier then the Presidential Race cause we don't have any kind of Runoffs this year.

Big, big warning signs for Biden & Mucarsel-Powell that the Abortion Amenment gets 61 % of Support and it has almost ZERO Impact on the Presidential & Senate Contests.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Powell is DONE, the problem with FL is that DeSantis polls went up back to where it was during IAN, since he isn't running for Prez against Trump

But, his fall in R Primary will be taken to History he isnt gonna be Prez in 28, he can forget that because Newsom will destroy him or Youngkin

I don't buy Harris is gonna be Prez anymore

[Skill and Chance]

FWIW this has the abortion amendment at 61/29.  Suggests significant success in decoupling the presidential vote from the abortion vote. 

[Umengus]

FWIW this has the abortion amendment at 61/29.  Suggests significant success in decoupling the presidential vote from the abortion vote. 

no surprise. Abortion won in OH and KS, Trump states.

[dspNY]

I’m not unskewing this one, a 6 to 10 point Trump lead in FL sounds reasonable given the registration numbers there

[2016]

FWIW this has the abortion amendment at 61/29.  Suggests significant success in decoupling the presidential vote from the abortion vote. 

Democrats thought the Abortion Amendment would help Biden & DMP in the Presidential & Senate Races. Looks like it has no impact at all on those Races.

Trump gets 58 % of Florida Hispanics and Rick Scott is even higher winning 2 out of 3 FL Hispanics.
If this is true it suggests that DeSantis winning Puerto Ricans in 2022 wasn't a one-off.

Rep. Darren Soto & Rep. Jared Moskowitz clinging to dear life with these sort of Numbers.

[Skill and Chance]

FWIW this has the abortion amendment at 61/29.  Suggests significant success in decoupling the presidential vote from the abortion vote. 

Democrats thought the Abortion Amendment would help Biden & DMP in the Presidential & Senate Races. Looks like it has no impact at all on those Races.

Trump gets 58 % of Florida Hispanics and Rick Scott is even higher winning 2 out of 3 FL Hispanics.
If this is true it suggests that DeSantis winning Puerto Ricans in 2022 wasn't a one-off.

Rep. Darren Soto & Rep. Jared Moskowitz clinging to dear life with these sort of Numbers.

While Florida Hispanics are different from other states, this feels like the kind of movement that would also generationally shut the door on Blue Texas.

[2016]

FWIW this has the abortion amendment at 61/29.  Suggests significant success in decoupling the presidential vote from the abortion vote. 

Democrats thought the Abortion Amendment would help Biden & DMP in the Presidential & Senate Races. Looks like it has no impact at all on those Races.

Trump gets 58 % of Florida Hispanics and Rick Scott is even higher winning 2 out of 3 FL Hispanics.
If this is true it suggests that DeSantis winning Puerto Ricans in 2022 wasn't a one-off.

Rep. Darren Soto & Rep. Jared Moskowitz clinging to dear life with these sort of Numbers.

While Florida Hispanics are different from other states, this feels like the kind of movement that would also generationally shut the door on Blue Texas.

Texas has a lot of Mexican Hispanics, very different than Florida.
DeSantis became the first Republican Governor Candidate in 2022 to win a "Core Democratic Constituency" in the Sunshine State, PUERTO RICANS. The Hispanics from that tiny Island generally backed Democrats over the last decade but the new Poll is suggesting that there might be a massive realignment on that Subgroup as well.

Needless to say Biden cannot win FL or being competitive without Puerto Ricans. If he loses that Group along with Cubans & other Latin America Hispanics we are truly looking at an epic margin for Republicans here come November.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There are Puerto Rico Latinx in NY, NJ and IL he won't lose the PR vote Nationwide

We don't need FL anyways or TX they are wave insurance but not just me alor of Atlasia users thought Cruz was vulnerable and he wasn't

[wbrocks67]

Remember - the Biden stooges are flexing that Biden is staffing up in Florida. Don't be surprised if they come in this thread to unskew this poll to tell us that Biden is down by only 2% in Florida

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=586741.0

This shtick wasn't funny in the first place, but now you're legitimately just coming into every thread and making stuff up. Please get a life.

[iceman]

Trump is almost certain to win double digits here in Florida.

[President Johnson]

The margin looks accurate, give or take a few points.

It's really unfortunate the direction that state has gone in recent years. After the 2012 election, I initially thought Florida would become Lean Democratic by the end of the decade due to demographic changes and Republicans just getting crazier all the time.

[OSR stands with Israel]

The margin looks accurate, give or take a few points.

It's really unfortunate the direction that state has gone in recent years. After the 2012 election, I initially thought Florida would become Lean Democratic by the end of the decade due to demographic changes and Republicans just getting crazier all the time.

I was in South Florida recently and even the vibe felt pretty Republican.  Of course regardless of its politics its still an extremely fun place to visit and I had a great time.

- The Beaches were truly amazing and one of a kind

- There is so many great Latin food options. Just not Mexican but Central and South American too

- Cuban Coffee is great as well

- Bar Hopping was pretty fun

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The margin looks accurate, give or take a few points.

It's really unfortunate the direction that state has gone in recent years. After the 2012 election, I initially thought Florida would become Lean Democratic by the end of the decade due to demographic changes and Republicans just getting crazier all the time.

I was in South Florida recently and even the vibe felt pretty Republican.  Of course regardless of its politics its still an extremely fun place to visit and I had a great time.

- The Beaches were truly amazing and one of a kind

- There is so many great Latin food options. Just not Mexican but Central and South American too

- Cuban Coffee is great as well

- Bar Hopping was pretty fun

Your DeSantis lost, Trump is crushing Biden and crushed DeSantis in FL

[Unelectable Bystander]

People are overestimating the margin in Colorado. I mean Trump only lost it by 3 last time. 2018 had lopsided turnout.

[President Johnson]

People are overestimating the margin in Colorado. I mean Trump only lost it by 3 last time. 2018 had lopsided turnout.

Colorado? And you mean Biden lost Florida by three?

[Skill and Chance]

The margin looks accurate, give or take a few points.

It's really unfortunate the direction that state has gone in recent years. After the 2012 election, I initially thought Florida would become Lean Democratic by the end of the decade due to demographic changes and Republicans just getting crazier all the time.

If anything, Florida is now the Republican version of a "demographic apocalypse"- flooding the zone with conservative retirees!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The margin looks accurate, give or take a few points.

It's really unfortunate the direction that state has gone in recent years. After the 2012 election, I initially thought Florida would become Lean Democratic by the end of the decade due to demographic changes and Republicans just getting crazier all the time.

If anything, Florida is now the Republican version of a "demographic apocalypse"- flooding the zone with conservative retirees!

It has always been this way since Jeb we just had Bill Nelson that codified Ds but after he lost it was over

[Progressive Pessimist]

Biden will get a better percentage than that.

Margin might be about right though.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

FWIW this has the abortion amendment at 61/29.  Suggests significant success in decoupling the presidential vote from the abortion vote. 

Abortion on the ballot was never going to save Dems in terms of persuassion. The only thing it can do is boost turnout among young voters. But the reality is there are a lot of pro-choice people who are pro-Trump and will be excited to vote for both.