Will Democrats lose New Mexico?
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  Will Democrats lose New Mexico?
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Author Topic: Will Democrats lose New Mexico?  (Read 1131 times)
Vice President Christian Man
Christian Man
Junior Chimp
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« on: May 17, 2024, 09:55:37 PM »

It has a relatively low level of college-educated voters and outside of Albuquerque/Santa Fe is pretty rural. Assuming that cultural depolarization continues, do you think it could vote for the GOP again within the next few decades?
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TML
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« Reply #1 on: May 18, 2024, 02:22:17 AM »

It is certainly possible for Hispanos/Nuevomexicanos to shift rightward in a manner similar to how Tejanos shifted rightward recently, but this would require Republicans to actually invest significantly in this group (the recent rightward shift among Tejanos was largely in part because Republicans actually invested significantly with that group).
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #2 on: May 18, 2024, 01:57:51 PM »

A wrinkle is that while NM has a very low percentage of college grads, it actually has a very high percentage of postgrads, on par with some of the most educated NE states.  So I don't think it's "destiny" is clear in a world dominated by education polarization.
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King Man
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« Reply #3 on: May 19, 2024, 04:32:16 PM »

Eventually but not this year
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Steve from Lambeth
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« Reply #4 on: May 21, 2024, 04:05:01 PM »

Yes, but the first time around, it will not be because of generalised Hispanic trends.
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Samof94
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« Reply #5 on: May 24, 2024, 01:54:09 PM »

Maybe as a one time thing. Imagine the GOP running someone as popular as Clinton in 1992.
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wnwnwn
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« Reply #6 on: May 24, 2024, 03:19:13 PM »

Maybe, if GOP can win latino vote.
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DS0816
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« Reply #7 on: May 25, 2024, 01:14:58 PM »


I want that to happen.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: May 25, 2024, 10:17:03 PM »



Ds won't lose NM it's a poor not rich Latino state
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