post 2nd quarter fundraising numbers here

[Mr. Morden]

I thought it would be good to have one thread in which we could post all the 2nd quarter fundraising numbers as they're released.  The candidates aren't required to report their fundraising numbers until two weeks from now, but last time around, most of the candidates issues press releases well before that.

First up, Bill Richardson raised about $7 million in the second quarter:

http://kob.com/article/stories/S127401.shtml?cat=500

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[Tender Branson]

Clinton campaign press release so far:

"Fundraising - We expect to bring in about what we did in the First Quarter, or slightly more, which should put us in the range of $27 million.  To put that figure in some perspective, it is more than any Democrat has ever raised in the second quarter of the "off" year.  While that figure is record setting, we do expect Senator Obama to significantly outraise us this quarter."

http://www.hillaryclinton.com/blog/

[Tender Branson]

From John Edwards:

"Dear Friend,

WE DID IT!

At 8:51 p.m. a $10 dollar contribution from Janet, of Clayton, Indiana put us over the $9 million dollar mark for the second quarter."

http://blog.johnedwards.com/story/2007/6/30/211448/683

[Eleden]

A source close to Obama is reporting that he raised over 30 million dollars.

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalradar/2007/07/obama-tops-30-m.html

[Verily]

From John Edwards:

"Dear Friend,

WE DID IT!

At 8:51 p.m. a $10 dollar contribution from Janet, of Clayton, Indiana put us over the $9 million dollar mark for the second quarter."

http://blog.johnedwards.com/story/2007/6/30/211448/683

It's really kind of sad that Edwards is coming in at a third of Clinton and only just above Richardson. He also lost ground since the first quarter, which is a bad sign for his campaign. (First quarter is supposed to be the lowest, with each successive quarter increasing.)

[Mr. Morden]

Keep in mind that most of the top tier candidates are raising $ for both the primary and the GE simultaneously, even though the GE $ can't be used for the primary, and so is irrelevant for the nomination fight.  In the first quarter, a significant fraction of Clinton's fundraising was for the GE, and Obama actually surpassed her in primary $ raised.

In most of these press releases, the candidates will probably report the combined primary+GE number, because it sounds more impressive.  So I presume that's what Clinton's $27 million figure represents...primary + GE combined.....even though the GE number is irrelevant at this point.

[Mr. Morden]

Chuck Todd was just on Meet the Press, and said that his sources indicated that Obama raised over $30 million *in primary $ alone*, while Clinton't number for the primary is probably in the low 20s.  So the gap between them could be as much as $10 million.

[Tender Branson]

A source close to Obama is reporting that he raised over 30 million dollars.

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalradar/2007/07/obama-tops-30-m.html

I was expecting about 30-35 Mio. for Obama in the last quarter. I mean he got 26 Mio. in the first from 105.000 Donors and now he got 150.000 donors in the second. He could get up to 35 Mio. $ (a bit unrealistic, but possible if the average amount of a donation stays the same in the 2nd quarter).

[Tender Branson]

Sidefact:

The Democratic Candidates seem to again have outraised the GOP candidates by 60%-40%, or better said 80 Mio. $ to about 50 Mio. $ in the second quarter, which I find a healthy sign.

[TheresNoMoney]

Amazing numbers from Obama if it's true.

[NHPolitico]

Sidefact:

The Democratic Candidates seem to again have outraised the GOP candidates by 60%-40%, or better said 80 Mio. $ to about 50 Mio. $ in the second quarter, which I find a healthy sign.

It's definitely a tailwind for Democrats for next year.

[Eleden]

Who knows?  Obama might even break the fundraising record, which is currently held by George W. Bush right?

[YRABNNRM]

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http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070701/ap_on_el_pr/campaign_money

[Mr. Morden]

That article also says that at least $31 million of that $32.5 million is for the primary.

[Likely Voter]

based on the AP report
Obama $32.5 (at least )
Clinton $27 (in the range)
Edwards $9 (more than)
Richardson $7 (more than)

No numbers for GOP....but expectations compared to 1st quarter...
Romney (will fall short of 1st qtr $20.7 )
Giuliani (expected to exceed 1st qtr $16 )
McCain (struggling to match $13.8 )

probably the big question now is will Rudy go ahead of Mitt...and how bad are things for McCain (and will anyone else come in ahead of him on the GOP side)
 
So what will Obama do with all his cash. Romney has bought himself some high polling numbers in IA and NH...I bet Obama does the same

[poughies]

I just don't see how Edwards can survive here..... Obama more than impressive pull.... putting Clinton to shame... Now he's gotta go out there and buy some votes with ads.

[© tweed]

yeah, Edwards is done.  even if he somehow can pull out a win in Iowa (which he won't, he'll probably finish third) he has no traction anywhere else.  his only appeal is with rural whites.  unless Gore gets in it's going to be Clinton or Obama.

and if Obama outraises Clinton, which is likely as it appears, he should get some very nice media play for the next few weeks.

[Likely Voter]

edwards only chance now is to move to IA and bet the farm on it. If he can win in IA (and remain top 3 in other primaries) that may keep him alive. But he also will need to do better than he is doing in SC....if he cannot show that he can compete in the south...then what good is he?

[© tweed]

he doesn't have any chance in SC unless he makes major inroads with blacks, which is unlikely because all the black support went to Kerry in '04 in the primaries and Clinton and Obama seemingly have a choke-hold on it.  blacks make up about half the electorate in SC, and Edwards is bascially pulling none of it.  that's why he's being thrashed in SC polls.

[Reaganfan]

Who the hell gives all that money to Obama? What a waste of your dough for a two-year Senator!

[poughies]

I don't give in a primary unless i'm passionate about a candidate...... or passionate about hating a candidate.

[Likely Voter]

the thing about Obama is that he has struck the small contributor group within the left big time. he has more contributors by far....averaging small money. That means he can keep going back to them for more....Clinton and others are getting far more big dollar contributors who are tapped out for the primaries with her.

Leading to my conspiracy theory that she may funnel money to Richardson to keep him in the race and have him be the attack dog against Obama...with a promise of Sec. of State or even VP.  A 'vast left wing conspiracy' if you will.

[Eraserhead]

So the Democratic race now looks like this....

Front runners: Clinton and Obama

Second Tier: Edwards and Richardson

Others: Biden, Dodd, Kucinich and Gravel

(Shadow candidate: Al Gore)

[Eraserhead]

Leading to my conspiracy theory that she may funnel money to Richardson to keep him in the race and have him be the attack dog against Obama...with a promise of Sec. of State or even VP.  A 'vast left wing conspiracy' if you will.

I'd love to see Richardson go after Obama in a debate. We saw how well that worked for Edwards and Richardson clearly isn't half as good as Edwards at debating the issues.

[Likely Voter]

well the attacks would most likely be in the form of ads (in my conspiracy theory). Allowing Hillary to stay above the fray and run only positive ads. It is true Richardson has been underwhelming in the debates...and he really goes on too much about his resume.