My 2008 Prediction.....What's Yours?

[Person Man]

NM, silly goose.

[Person Man]

That's a risky proposition. What if Hill-dog doesn't mess up? That's how political movements get started.

[Person Man]

The campaign may start close between the two major parties, but will break wide open for Clinton in October 2008

...if the current climate against the GOP continues ...

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I agree with the first, but not with the latter. She´ll not take MT, AK or IN whatsoever. She "maybe" gets 45% in IN, yes, but that´s all.

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Nope. She´ll win NH - and by a decent margin.

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Georgia isn´t going anywhere but GOP next year. GA is a conservative hell and still trending GOP. No chance for Clinton there. Yes, the turnout will be close to 130 Mio. votes, but Clinton will only take about 50% of them, as I predict a close election. Remember that Bush won with 51-48 ...

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MO will be closer, some Western states may flip to Clinton (NM, NV, CO) but not AZ. Clinton landsliding the west with 70% is ridiculous. But the Westcoast should generally be in the Clinton=55% column.

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I think her VP will be Tom Vilsack.

It would be interesting to see how an adopted child would affect the DEM ticket.

[Person Man]

You know, if the Republicans pull this off, this would be the first time a president was both reelected AND was replaced by a loyal successor that wasn't a part of the original president's jurisdiction in 132 years and first time EVER, if the GOP wins both the EVs and popular vote.

[Person Man]

If Bush couldn't win those states in 2004 there's no way Thompson would win them in 2008. And Nevada wouldn't go Dem while Michigan and Pennsylvania vote Repub.

I don't know about that. Things get a little "funny" when a anti-gun GOPer runs, or a pro-choice one for that matter. It could make one part of the country trend harder than the other parts. Being anti-gun will make you perform worse in the west while being pro-choice will make you run better in the west and vice-versa for the Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes.