Quinnipiac Poll: Lautenberg too old; beats generic GOP candidate 40–33%

[DownWithTheLeft]

This surprises no one.  Generic Republican vs. Generic Democrat will always produce 45-48 percent for the Republican and 50-55 percent for the Democrat, in fact it works with any person.

[DownWithTheLeft]

This surprises no one.  Generic Republican vs. Generic Democrat will always produce 45-48 percent for the Republican and 50-55 percent for the Democrat, in fact it works with any person.

Funny, then, that generic Republican led generic Democrat in 2002, then the two were about even in 2004, and generic Democrat led generic Republican in 2006. Lying to make your party look good generally isn't a good idea. If generic Democrat currently leads generic Republican, it's because, surprise, surprise, the country actually prefers the Democrats right now.

I was talking about general election results rather than polls, which then I think you will agree my statement holds true.

[DownWithTheLeft]

This surprises no one.  Generic Republican vs. Generic Democrat will always produce 45-48 percent for the Republican and 50-55 percent for the Democrat, in fact it works with any person.

Funny, then, that generic Republican led generic Democrat in 2002, then the two were about even in 2004, and generic Democrat led generic Republican in 2006. Lying to make your party look good generally isn't a good idea. If generic Democrat currently leads generic Republican, it's because, surprise, surprise, the country actually prefers the Democrats right now.

I was talking about general election results rather than polls, which then I think you will agree my statement holds true.

Your generic republican % is too high. It's around 42-46%. Not next year though, no good challenger has emerged. It should be around 60-40 or greater so far.

My point is that a good challenger is not necessary, even in Schundler/McGreevey McGreevey couldn't pull 60%

[DownWithTheLeft]

This surprises no one.  Generic Republican vs. Generic Democrat will always produce 45-48 percent for the Republican and 50-55 percent for the Democrat, in fact it works with any person.

Funny, then, that generic Republican led generic Democrat in 2002, then the two were about even in 2004, and generic Democrat led generic Republican in 2006. Lying to make your party look good generally isn't a good idea. If generic Democrat currently leads generic Republican, it's because, surprise, surprise, the country actually prefers the Democrats right now.

I was talking about general election results rather than polls, which then I think you will agree my statement holds true.

Your generic republican % is too high. It's around 42-46%. Not next year though, no good challenger has emerged. It should be around 60-40 or greater so far.

My point is that a good challenger is not necessary, even in Schundler/McGreevey McGreevey couldn't pull 60%

I know... I was talking about Lautenberg next year. If his challenger is that Dougherty guy, then he might well get 60%+.

You obviously missed my point of uber-popular Democrat combined with scandal ridden not loved Republican does not produce 60%.  I guarantee at least 40% of New Jersey will not vote for a Democrat and at least 50% will not vote for a Republican.  There is really only 10% wiggle room.

[DownWithTheLeft]

Let's rank the Republican candidates:

1.) Chris Christie
2.) Tom Kean Sr.
3.) Bill Baroni
4.) John Murphy
5.) Tom Kean Jr.


Yeah were pretty screwed

[DownWithTheLeft]

Let's rank the Republican candidates:

1.) Chris Christie
2.) Tom Kean Sr.
3.) Bill Baroni
4.) John Murphy
5.) Tom Kean Jr.


Yeah were pretty screwed

It's funny, whenever national Republicans seriously pursue a Senate seat in NJ, they always fall up short by the same slightly-less-than-10 point margin (1988, 1996, 2006); whenever they wind up punting the seat in the electoral pre-season (1990, 2000, 2002), they almost wind up winning the damn thing to spite themselves.

Franks more of a suprise than usual, however, I think 2002 can be explained due to "unforeseen circumstances"

[DownWithTheLeft]

I predict some reason this race becomes competitive when Fmr. State Assembly Majority Leader Paul DiGaetano steps in.  Final result:

Lautenberg 50%
DiGaetano 48%

That's how much sense NJ politics makes