Iowa GOP Straw Poll - 11 August 2007

[YRABNNRM]

I wonder if this really means anything for Huckabee though. If he stays in all the way, he'll still probably only manage a fourth place in the caucus.

[Keystone Phil]

Excellent news in that Romney's win wasn't that big and Tommy will have to drop out at this point.

[Sam Spade]

I wonder if this really means anything for Huckabee though. If he stays in all the way, he'll still probably only manage a fourth place in the caucus.

Depends.  Of course, if his organization stays the way it is right now - he won't be getting any higher.

What Huckabee is hoping for here is a boost in fundraising.

[Sam Spade]

I'm giving this thing a good ol' bump for Carlhayden again, as Duncan Hunter managed to finish behind 2 candidates who didn't even participate in the caucus.

I might even create a separate thread.

[poughies]

Right fundraising boost......

[Sam Spade]

I couldn't bring myself to tell the various Paul fans in this forum that his 5th place finish among a bunch of nothing candidates (and Mitt) means that he stands no chance at the nomination, but I will choose to do so now.

[poughies]

I couldn't bring myself to tell the various Paul fans in this forum that his 5th place finish among a bunch of nothing candidates (and Mitt) means that he stands no chance at the nomination, but I will choose to do so now.

U do know that diebold was used to count the votes?

CONSPIRACY! ITS THE MAN AGAINST PAUL and THE PEOPLE!

Paul will go nowhere and thank God.

[SPC]

I couldn't bring myself to tell the various Paul fans in this forum that his 5th place finish among a bunch of nothing candidates (and Mitt) means that he stands no chance at the nomination, but I will choose to do so now.

I've never denied that Paul has a extremely slim (i.e. essentially none) chance at winning. I just want to have him perform well enough such that the GOP will nominate a libertarian-leaner in 2012.

[Tender Branson]

Final results of the straw poll:

1 - Romney: 4.516 - 31.5%
2 - Huckabee: 2.587 - 18.1%
3 - Brownback: 2.192 - 15.3%
4 - Tancredo: 1.961 - 13.7%
5 - Paul: 1.305 - 9.1%
6 - T. Thompson: 1.039 - 7.3%
7 - F. Thompson: 203 - 1.4%
8 - Giuliani: 183 - 1.3%
9 - Hunter: 174 - 1.2%
10 - McCain: 101 - 1.0%
11 - Cox: 41 - 0.1%

Turnout: 14,302 Total Votes - 26,000 Total Tickets Sold

My Final Prediction:

Romney: 26%
Brownback: 13%
Tancredo: 12%
Huckabee: 11%
Giuliani: 9%
Paul: 8%
T. Thompson: 7%
F. Thompson: 6%
Hunter: 4%
McCain: 3%

Keyes: about 0.5%
Cox: about 0.3%
Gilmore: about 0.2%

Turnout prediction: 30.000-35.000 votes will be cast

As to my prediction: I quite overestimated Giuliani´s strength but I knew the race for second with Huckabee, Brownback and Tancredo would be tight. Also the turnout figure was way lower than I had thought ...

But a nice win for Romney.

[Mr. Morden]

9 - Hunter: 174 - 1.2%
10 - McCain: 101 - 1.0%
11 - Cox: 41 - 0.1%

These numbers and percentages don't make any sense.  If 41 votes is 0.1%, then how is 101 votes 1.0% and 174 votes 1.2%???

[Tender Branson]

9 - Hunter: 174 - 1.2%
10 - McCain: 101 - 1.0%
11 - Cox: 41 - 0.1%

These numbers and percentages don't make any sense.  If 41 votes is 0.1%, then how is 101 votes 1.0% and 174 votes 1.2%???

That´s a good question: Seems they got the percentages wrong. I´ll check it.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

I hope this means that Fred Thompson is on his way out as the "champion of the conservative" and Huckabee is on his way in.

Not that I want either to win, but...

[MarkWarner08]

9 - Hunter: 174 - 1.2%
10 - McCain: 101 - 1.0%
11 - Cox: 41 - 0.1%

These numbers and percentages don't make any sense.  If 41 votes is 0.1%, then how is 101 votes 1.0% and 174 votes 1.2%???

Republicans call that "fuzzy math."

[King]

9 - Hunter: 174 - 1.2%
10 - McCain: 101 - 1.0%
11 - Cox: 41 - 0.1%

These numbers and percentages don't make any sense.  If 41 votes is 0.1%, then how is 101 votes 1.0% and 174 votes 1.2%???

Seems to be a lot of rounding.

Correct PCTs

Romney 32.2%
Huckabee 18.4%
Brownback 15.6%
Tancredo 14.0%
Paul 9.3%
Tommy 7.4%
Fred 1.4%
Giuliani 1.3%
Hunter 1.2%
McCain 0.7%
Cox 0.3%

[Keystone Phil]

I hope this means that Fred Thompson is on his way out as the "champion of the conservative" and Huckabee is on his way in.

Not that I want either to win, but...

No, no, no...we're sticking with Fred. 

[Tender Branson]

... and Huckabee is on his way in.

"Hillary Clinton Still Tops in Arkansas Poll. Opinion Research Associates of Little Rock conducted the survey for Arkansas News Bureau-Stephens Media Group. In a head-to-head match up, 49 percent of respondents said they would vote for Clinton, 36 percent favored the governor, and 15 percent were undecided."

For all the "Hillary Clinton can´t take AR against a Republican" ...

[SPC]

Good for Huckabee. Though I disagree with him on the issues, he seems to be the most common man populist of the candidates. I still wish Ron Paul had a good showing, though.

[Eraserhead]

Good night for Huckabee (I called that one right). Tommy Thompson will leave the race after this and my god Duncan Hunter is a joke. I really hope Hunter has the sense to leave the race but that may not be the case.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

John McCain is unstoppable now with his 0.7% 10th place showing!

[poughies]

i kinda feel bad for hunter in someway.... man sweating with a business suit on in 95+ degree heat.

Eh, who cares.

[poughies]

I think its time for the wise words of George Stephanopoulos concerning Ron Paul

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HTCnt1TnFHs&mode=related&search=

[Speed of Sound]

John McCain is unstoppable now with his 0.7% 10th place showing!

Actually, considering his current campaign status, this is a stroke of great luck.

[SPC]

John McCain is unstoppable now with his 0.7% 10th place showing!

Though it is kinds unfair since he didn't actively compete, it is pretty depressing to be second last only to John Cox.

[MasterJedi]

John McCain is unstoppable now with his 0.7% 10th place showing!

Though it is kinds unfair since he didn't actively compete, it is pretty depressing to be second last only to John Cox.

He got more votes than he did in the last straw poll when he wasn't really doing anything in Iowa.

As for Tommy Thompson he'll probably drop out today or tomorrow. It's a shame since he's the best candidate in the race, he's the one with ideas.

Hunter and Paul should drop out as well. I suspect Hunter will do it soon but Paul will probably stay in until after the New Hampshire primaries.

[Mr. Morden]

Thompson apparently left the straw poll without making any public comment about the results.  Now his campaign "says the former Wisconsin governor will make an announcement about his future within the next 48 hours":

http://www.wbay.com/Global/story.asp?S=6919892