Kevinstat
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,823
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« on: December 06, 2003, 02:42:31 PM » |
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NorthernDog,
Interesting scenario. Unfortunately, I believe if an antiwar independent candidate got enough votes to win a state (close to a third of the vote at least) to win a single state, that candidate would also get enough votes in other states, and enough of those votes would otherwise go to the Democratic candidate, that President Bush would win a landslide electoral victory. President Bush would have to slide considerably to win less than 270 electoral votes in a race with that sizable independent candidate support.
Am I saying the Democrats can't survive a Nader. Not necessarily. But a liberal independent or 3rd party candidate with enough support to win a state, or even come close, would virtually guarantee W's reelection.
Sincerely,
Kevin Lamoreau
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