Last time an anti-war candidate won a Presidential race in wartime? (user search)
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  Last time an anti-war candidate won a Presidential race in wartime? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Last time an anti-war candidate won a Presidential race in wartime?  (Read 23727 times)
Nym90
nym90
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Posts: 16,260
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Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

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« on: August 11, 2007, 01:38:45 AM »

In 2004 someone said: "The taller candidate has always won."  In 2000, it was "The winner of the popular vote has almost always won the electoral college."  In 1996, it was "No democrat since WW2 has won a second full term."  In 1988, they said "No sitting vice-president has won the White House since Martin van Buren."

History is a tricky temptress.  Trite historical analogies don't fly when it comes to today's politics.

Very true. Call it the Sesame Street school of thought in political analysis....each of these things is like one of the others.....the idea that we need to figure out which past election the current election is like, and that will tell us what's going to happen.

The reality is that each election is unique, and the issues, candidates, and campaigns can never be and never are duplicated.
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Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #1 on: August 12, 2007, 07:41:36 AM »

Another question:

When's the last time a candidate of the party of the President during an unpopular war won?

Never, although in fairness the sample size is pretty small. The only such elections in the history of polling are 1952 and 1968, but both times the incumbent party candidate did indeed lose.
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