Colorado-Rasmussen: Giuliani leads Clinton by 10%, Thompson and Clinton tied (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 01, 2024, 06:13:44 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  2008 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  Colorado-Rasmussen: Giuliani leads Clinton by 10%, Thompson and Clinton tied (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Colorado-Rasmussen: Giuliani leads Clinton by 10%, Thompson and Clinton tied  (Read 5673 times)
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


« on: August 14, 2007, 09:58:15 AM »

These polls and that map are all useless, I hope you know that. It doesn't matter who's ahead now, no matter who it says is ahead. Wait until after the nominees are chosen, then you can start going crazy about polls. We should all focus on the nomination polls, not the GE ones.

I'd actually go even farther than you do, and say that, even after the nominations have been decided (which will presumably happen in February), the polls will still not be very useful in predicting who will win and by what margin.  Frequently, the race doesn't really crystallize until after the conventions, so we might not have a good indication for another year.

However, leaving aside what the polls tell us about who would win nationally, what about the question of relative strength of the two parties between different states?  If, hypothetically, we got a bunch of polls showing the Democrats stronger in Florida than Ohio or stronger in West Virginia than Colorado, then might that not tell us something interesting about what the electoral map might look like next year, depending on what the overall national popular vote margin is (which we won't be able to guess for a long time yet)?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.024 seconds with 14 queries.