Local Election Maps

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

No, I haven't been in touch with Iain.  He was copied into some Twitter traffic but hasn't responded to it.  I don't really want to prod Iain given that Vote UK isn't exactly work-related, but I might have to soon.

[YL]

The 2010 election had a few strange features: Labour gained Edenthorpe, Kirk Sandall and Barnby Dun with just 24.0% of the vote, which is the lowest winning score I can remember seeing in a UK local election.  The full shares of the vote were Lab 24.0 LD 23.3 C 20.3 EDP 16.2 Ind 16.2, the English Democrats and the defending Independent councillor tying for last place with 1,100 votes each.

Not far away, the BNP win in Maltby (Rotherham) in 2008 was on 23.1%.  (According to a certain very useful website for past local election results.)

[YL]

Here are my Sheffield maps from 2last year again:

Sheffield winning party, 2011:


Lib Dem to Labour swing, 2010 to 2011:

(Shades are 0 to 4%, 4% to 8%, etc., up to 16% to 20%, using the British definition of "swing")

Vote share maps, 2011:


(Shades are in increments of 10% for Labour and the Lib Dems and 5% for the Tories and the Greens; the darkest Labour shade is 70% to 80% and the darkest Lib Dem share 40% to 50%.)

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

I was just going to post my own Sheffield 2011 maps...  So instead I'll just do the text:

Lab gain from LD
Broomhill
Crookes
East Ecclesfield
Gleadless Valley
Hillsborough
Nether Edge
Stocksbridge and Upper Don
Walkley
West Ecclesfield

Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections):
Broomhill is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Central is 2Grn/1Lab and the Greens are defending in May.
Crookes is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
East Ecclesfield is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Gleadless Valley is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Hillsborough is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Mosborough is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Nether Edge is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Stocksbridge and Upper Don is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Walkley is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
West Ecclesfield is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.

In close elections (not that we're likely to have one here in the near future) Sheffield has a tendency to produce wrong-winner results.  In 2007 Labour polled most votes and the Lib Dems won most seats, while in 2010 the Lib Dems polled most votes and Labour won most seats.  In 2006 the Lib Dems polled most votes but Labour would have won most seats had it not been for one of the Lib Dem wards being a double election.

[Leftbehind]

Actually your Sheffield map is worth posting just to see the changes from '07

2007


2011


Given Stannington was six votes away from turning red, it could've been even more dramatic.

As for the wrong-winners, it could've been a lot worse - it looks like the elections where the Liberals gained more votes than Labour corresponded almost exactly (1998 being the exception) with their control of the council.

[YL]

Inspired by Leftbehind's post, here's another Sheffield map, this time the LD to Lab swing from 2007 to 2011.  Neither year was a general election year, perhaps making them a bit more comparable, and the same seats were up, so many of the candidates were the same.  The colour scale is the same as on the previous swing map, except that I needed a 20% to 24% shade for Crookes; at the other end of the scale Beauchief & Greenhill was very close to requiring a pale yellow.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Crookes is mostly from the old Hallam ward, right?

[YL]

Crookes is mostly from the old Hallam ward, right?

Yes, though a significant part in the east came from Netherthorpe and a smaller area in the north-east from Walkley.

The Council website has pages for each ward with PDF maps which show the old ward boundaries, e.g.
https://www.sheffield.gov.uk/your-city-council/elections/ward-boundaries/crookes.html

[joevsimp]

when was the last time Sheffield had a tory cllr? doesn't look like they'll take dore and totley any time soon

[Leftbehind]

Until 2008 in Dore & Totley, but they hadn't had one elected since 2004. Last year they were less than 800 votes off fourth place in city-wide vote totals (behind the Greens).

Good stuff, YL.

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

Gateshead 2011.  Changes based on 2007:

Lab gain from LD
Crawcrook and Greenside
Dunston Hill and Whickham East
Pelaw and Heworth
Ryton, Crookhill and Stella
Winlaton and High Spen

2010 map:


2011 map:


Cartogram of the 2011 results (showing each ward according to its voting power):


Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections):
Birtley is 2Lab/1Lib and the Liberals are defending in May.
Crawcrook and Greenside is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Dunston Hill and Whickham East is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Pelaw and Heworth is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Ryton, Crookhill and Stella is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Winlaton and High Spen is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.

Few things to note:
- before 2010 Gateshead really was a council where nothing happened electorally.  After the 2008 elections all the wards had a full slate of Labour councillors or a full slate of Lib Dem councillors (except Birtley which had one Liberal Party councillor).
- the Lib Dems normally don't stand in Birtley and Lamesley to give the continuing Liberals a run.
- it could have been even worse for the Lib Dems this year as they held Whickham North by just 24 votes.

[Colbert]

question : were do you found those maps ?


question 2 : I search maps of roman empire with boundaries of provinces, to make a chronological timeline serie of maps frome the rise of the republic to 476 AD. Does someone could help me to found this map?

[batmacumba]

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/96/Roman_Empire_map-2.gif

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

question : were do you found those maps ?

I draw them myself, based on the Ordnance Survey's file of ward boundaries.

[Colbert]

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/96/Roman_Empire_map-2.gif

Thanks


(even if i had a lot of work to made : painting all provincial borders, buuuu ^^)

[Hash]

You know that you can easily find maps of Roman provinces with a 2-second Google search, right?

[Colbert]

You know that you can easily find maps of Roman provinces with a 2-second Google search, right?

yes of course, but they are not, how can I say that... "empty", you know ?
http://wilkenovella.files.wordpress.com/2007/06/provinces-of-roman-empire.jpg

For exemple, this one is colorised, but not with UNIFORMISED COLORS, so, with paint, it's difficult to "whitised" all the provinces cause the colors are not regular

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

Newcastle upon Tyne 2011.  Changes based on 2007:

Lab gain from LD
Blakelaw
Denton
Fawdon
Lemington
Newburn
North Heaton
Ouseburn
South Jesmond
Walkergate

2010 map:


2011 map (Byker was a postponed poll, Westerhope was an abandoned poll):


Cartogram of the 2011 results (showing each ward according to its voting power):


Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections):
Blakelaw is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Denton is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Fawdon is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Fenham is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Lemington is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Newburn is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
North Heaton is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Ouseburn is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
South Jesmond is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Walkergate is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Westerhope is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.

[MaxQue]

You know that you can easily find maps of Roman provinces with a 2-second Google search, right?

yes of course, but they are not, how can I say that... "empty", you know ?
http://wilkenovella.files.wordpress.com/2007/06/provinces-of-roman-empire.jpg

For exemple, this one is colorised, but not with UNIFORMISED COLORS, so, with paint, it's difficult to "whitised" all the provinces cause the colors are not regular

Doesn't using a color threshold in a software solve that problem?

Andrew, two questions? What is an abandonned poll?
Did Tories ever elected someone in the Tyne and Wear in recent times?

[Leftbehind]

The elections were null and void because a candidate died near the polling date.

As for Tories being elected in Tyne & Wear, you need only look to North Tyneside for a sizeable Tory presence - they won short-lived control of it in 2008, and as of 2011 stand:

Lab 35 seats (+6)
Con 19 (-5)
Lib 6 (-1)

Unless you mean MPs, in which case, no - not AFAIK. Not since 92 (Tynemouth), I think.

Newcastle: 2007 > 2011 > 2011 post byelections.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Who doesn't love Walker?

[MaxQue]

Thanks. I was asking for councillors, which are easier to get than MPs.
Anyways, for MPs, I can check on Wikipedia usually (and I checked, it agrees with you).

But I'm surprised than there is no LibDems MP's from there.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

But I'm surprised than there is no LibDems MP's from there.

So were the LibDems in 2010

And 2005

But LibDem success in local government elections was largely conditional on low turnouts and Labour being in government nationally. Newcastle has had only Labour MPs since 1987: before then there was always at least one Tory (and they always held whichever seat had Jesmond in it).

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

The elections were null and void because a candidate died near the polling date.

The circumstances were slightly different.  In Byker a candidate died a week or two before the election so the date of polling was postponed to June.  In Westerhope the Lib Dem candidate died on polling day, so the poll did start but had to be abandoned.

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North Tyneside is the next map, although it does have an elected Mayor who ISTR is Tory at the moment.

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[applause]

Somebody please do this for Stoke-on-Trent in the last few years.

[Хahar 🤔]

How do you make the cartograms?