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Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever
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« on: March 10, 2012, 07:19:43 AM »

Reactivating a relevant old thread rather than starting a new one.  I've been posting these maps for years on the Vote UK forum, but that got hacked at the beginning of the month (nice birthday present, people) and it's looking increasingly unlikely to be coming back.  Basically these maps signal that bits of my website have been updated.

Barnsley 2011.  Changes based on 2007:

Lab gain from Barnsley Independent Group (BIG)
Darfield
Hoyland Milton
Kingstone
Old Town
Rockingham

2010 map (BIG in pink):


2011 map:


Cartogram (showing each ward according to its voting power):


Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections):
Darfield is 2Lab/1BIG and BIG are defending in May.
Darton East is 2Lab/1BIG and Labour are defending in May.
Dearne South is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May (however, I think the Lib Dem councillor has defected to Labour).
Hoyland Milton is 2Lab/1BIG and BIG are defending in May.
Kingstone is 2Lab/1BIG and BIG are defending in May.
Monk Bretton is 2Lab/1Ind and the Independent is up in May.
North East is 2BIG/1Lab and BIG are defending in May.
Old Town is 2Lab/1BIG and BIG are defending in May.
Rockingham is 2Lab/1BIG and BIG are defending in May.
Stairfoot is 2Lab/1BIG and BIG are defending in May.
Worsbrough is 2Lab/1BIG and BIG are defending in May.
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Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever
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« Reply #1 on: March 10, 2012, 11:07:30 AM »
« Edited: March 11, 2012, 04:56:49 AM by Chancellor of the Duchy of Smithills »

My version of Doncaster 2011 (good work there Al).  Changes based on 2007:

Lab gain from Community Group
Thorne

Lab gain from Ind
Armthorpe
Edlington and Warmsworth

Lab gain from LD
Edenthorpe, Kirk Sandall and Barnby Dun
Mexborough
Town Moor
Wheatley

2010 and 2011 maps:


Cartogram of the 2011 results (showing each ward according to its voting power):


Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections):
Armthorpe is 2Lab/1Ind and the Independent is up in May.
Balby is 2Lab/1Ind and the Independent is up in May.
Edenthorpe, Kirk Sandall and Barnby Dun is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Edlington and Warmsworth is 2Lab/1Ind and the Independent is up in May.
Great North Road is 2Lab/1Ind and the Independent is up in May (although I think the Independent councillor has defected to Labour).
Mexborough is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Rossington is 2Lab/1Ind and the Independent is up in May.
Thorne is 2Lab/1Community Group and the Community Group are defending in May.
Town Moor is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.

The 2010 and 2011 maps are identical but the shares of the vote were very different: Labour polled 46% in 2011 but only 35% 36% in 2010.  The Liberal Democrats were fifth in share of the vote in 2011 with 7%, behind the combined Independents (12%) and the English Democrats (9%).

The 2010 election had a few strange features: Labour gained Edenthorpe, Kirk Sandall and Barnby Dun with just 24.0% of the vote, which is the lowest winning score I can remember seeing in a UK local election.  The full shares of the vote were Lab 24.0 LD 23.3 C 20.3 EDP 16.2 Ind 16.2, the English Democrats and the defending Independent councillor tying for last place with 1,100 votes each.  Labour also gained Thorne with 27.5% of the vote, the sitting Community Group councillor standing as an independent and coming third with 14.3%; in that ward the Conservative and Liberal Democrat candidates were both called John Brown.
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Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever
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« Reply #2 on: March 10, 2012, 05:45:06 PM »

Thanks for the thanks Smiley

The People's Republic of Rotherham 2011.  Changes based on 2007:

Lab gain from C
Hellaby
Wales

Lab gain from Ind
Maltby

2010 map:


2011 map:


Cartogram of the 2011 results (showing each ward according to its voting power):


Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections):
Anston and Woodsetts is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Brinsworth and Catcliffe is 2Lab/1BNP but the BNP councillor (who would have been up in May) recently got kicked off the council for non-attendance after a bizarre tour of defections between various far-right parties, including joining the National Front and then leaving them on the grounds that he hadn't realised they were a bunch of racists.
Hellaby is 2C/1Lab and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Maltby is 2Lab/1BNP and the BNP are defending in May, although again I think the BNP councillor here is no longer in the BNP.
Wales is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Wickersley is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
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Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever
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« Reply #3 on: March 11, 2012, 05:00:57 AM »

Fixed, thanks.  Sometimes I need these things pointing out to me.
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Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever
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« Reply #4 on: March 11, 2012, 01:27:04 PM »

No, I haven't been in touch with Iain.  He was copied into some Twitter traffic but hasn't responded to it.  I don't really want to prod Iain given that Vote UK isn't exactly work-related, but I might have to soon.
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Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever
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« Reply #5 on: March 11, 2012, 05:00:13 PM »

I was just going to post my own Sheffield 2011 maps...  So instead I'll just do the text:

Lab gain from LD
Broomhill
Crookes
East Ecclesfield
Gleadless Valley
Hillsborough
Nether Edge
Stocksbridge and Upper Don
Walkley
West Ecclesfield

Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections):
Broomhill is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Central is 2Grn/1Lab and the Greens are defending in May.
Crookes is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
East Ecclesfield is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Gleadless Valley is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Hillsborough is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Mosborough is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Nether Edge is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Stocksbridge and Upper Don is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Walkley is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
West Ecclesfield is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.

In close elections (not that we're likely to have one here in the near future) Sheffield has a tendency to produce wrong-winner results.  In 2007 Labour polled most votes and the Lib Dems won most seats, while in 2010 the Lib Dems polled most votes and Labour won most seats.  In 2006 the Lib Dems polled most votes but Labour would have won most seats had it not been for one of the Lib Dem wards being a double election.
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Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever
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« Reply #6 on: March 18, 2012, 05:39:39 AM »

Gateshead 2011.  Changes based on 2007:

Lab gain from LD
Crawcrook and Greenside
Dunston Hill and Whickham East
Pelaw and Heworth
Ryton, Crookhill and Stella
Winlaton and High Spen

2010 map:


2011 map:


Cartogram of the 2011 results (showing each ward according to its voting power):


Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections):
Birtley is 2Lab/1Lib and the Liberals are defending in May.
Crawcrook and Greenside is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Dunston Hill and Whickham East is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Pelaw and Heworth is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Ryton, Crookhill and Stella is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Winlaton and High Spen is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.

Few things to note:
- before 2010 Gateshead really was a council where nothing happened electorally.  After the 2008 elections all the wards had a full slate of Labour councillors or a full slate of Lib Dem councillors (except Birtley which had one Liberal Party councillor).
- the Lib Dems normally don't stand in Birtley and Lamesley to give the continuing Liberals a run.
- it could have been even worse for the Lib Dems this year as they held Whickham North by just 24 votes.
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Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever
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« Reply #7 on: March 20, 2012, 06:58:32 PM »

question : were do you found those maps ?

I draw them myself, based on the Ordnance Survey's file of ward boundaries.
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Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever
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« Reply #8 on: March 21, 2012, 10:16:58 AM »

Newcastle upon Tyne 2011.  Changes based on 2007:

Lab gain from LD
Blakelaw
Denton
Fawdon
Lemington
Newburn
North Heaton
Ouseburn
South Jesmond
Walkergate

2010 map:


2011 map (Byker was a postponed poll, Westerhope was an abandoned poll):


Cartogram of the 2011 results (showing each ward according to its voting power):


Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections):
Blakelaw is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Denton is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Fawdon is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Fenham is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Lemington is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Newburn is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
North Heaton is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Ouseburn is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
South Jesmond is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Walkergate is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Westerhope is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
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Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever
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« Reply #9 on: March 21, 2012, 06:02:59 PM »

The elections were null and void because a candidate died near the polling date.

The circumstances were slightly different.  In Byker a candidate died a week or two before the election so the date of polling was postponed to June.  In Westerhope the Lib Dem candidate died on polling day, so the poll did start but had to be abandoned.

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North Tyneside is the next map, although it does have an elected Mayor who ISTR is Tory at the moment.

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[applause]

Somebody please do this for Stoke-on-Trent in the last few years.
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Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever
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« Reply #10 on: March 21, 2012, 06:30:44 PM »


A combination of the OS' shapefiles (google OS Boundary Line) and a computer program called ScapeToad.
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Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever
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« Reply #11 on: March 22, 2012, 03:07:38 PM »

Somebody please do this for Stoke-on-Trent in the last few years.



I can see why you wanted one! Also lol'd at Fenton.

One properly showing the unfeasibly large number of defections would be even better Wink
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Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever
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« Reply #12 on: March 22, 2012, 07:32:17 PM »

North Tyneside 2011.  Changes based on 2007:

Lab gain from C
Benton
Collingwood
Killingworth
Monkseaton South
Whitley Bay

Lab gain from LD
Wallsend

2010 map:


2011 map:


Cartogram of the 2011 results (showing each ward according to its voting power):


Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections):
Battle Hill is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May (although I think this seat has gone Labour in a by-election).
Benton is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Collingwood is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Killingworth is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Monkseaton South is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Preston is 2C/1Lab and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Tynemouth is 2C/1Lab and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Wallsend is 2Lab/1LD and the Liberal Democrats are defending in May.
Weetslade is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Whitley Bay is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
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Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever
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« Reply #13 on: March 24, 2012, 10:58:09 AM »

South Tyneside 2011.  Changes based on 2007:

Lab gain from C
Cleadon and East Boldon

Lab gain from LD
Hebburn North

Lab gain from South Tyneside Progressive
West Park

2010 map:


2011 map:


Cartogram of the 2011 results (showing each ward according to its voting power):


Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections):
Beacon and Bents is 2Lab/1Ind and the Independent is up in May.
Cleadon and East Boldon is 2C/1Lab and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Cleadon Park is 2Lab/1Ind and Labour are defending in May.
Harton is 2Lab/1Progressive and the Progressives are defending in May (although their outgoing councillor - who has been therefore forever - has recently died).
Hebburn North is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Horsley Hill is 2Lab/1Ind and the Independent is up in May.
Monkton is 2Lab/1Ind and the Independent is up in May.
West Park is 2Lab/1Progressive and the Progressives are defending in May.
Whiteleas is 2Lab/1Ind and the Independent is up in May.
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Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever
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« Reply #14 on: March 26, 2012, 06:30:31 PM »

Sunderland 2011.  Changes based on 2007:

Lab gain from C
St Chad's
St Peter's
Washington East
Washington South

2010 map:


2011 map:


Cartogram of the 2011 results (showing each ward according to its voting power):


Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections):
Barnes is 2C/1Lab and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Copt Hill is 2Ind/1Lab and the Independents are defending in May.
Doxford is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Houghton is 2Lab/1Ind and the Independent is up in May.
Millfield is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Ryhope is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
St Chad's is 2C/1Lab and the Conservatives are defending in May.
St Peter's is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Washington East is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Washington South is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
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« Reply #15 on: April 07, 2012, 03:51:42 PM »

Starting a new West Midlands series, Birmingham 2011.  Changes based on 2007:

Lab gain from C
Billesley
Brandwood
Harborne
Kings Norton
Longbridge
Quinton

Lab gain from LD
Acocks Green
Hall Green
Hodge Hill
Moseley and Kings Heath
Selly Oak
South Yardley
Springfield

Lab gain from Respect
Sparkbrook

2010 map:


2011 map:


Cartogram of the 2011 results (showing each ward according to its voting power):


Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections):
Acocks Green is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Aston is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Billesley is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Bordesley Green is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Brandwood is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Hall Green is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Harborne is 2C/1Lab and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Kings Norton is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Longbridge is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Moseley and Kings Heath is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Oscott is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Quinton is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Selly Oak is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
South Yardley is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Sparkbrook is 2Respect/1Lab; however Labour already hold the two Respect seats through a by-election gain and a defection.
Springfield is 2LD/1Lab and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Stockland Green is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Tyburn is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
Washwood Heath is 2Lab/1LD and the Lib Dems are defending in May.
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Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever
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« Reply #16 on: April 08, 2012, 09:56:04 AM »

Coventry 2011.  Changes based on 2007:

Lab gain from C
Bablake
Sherbourne
Westwood
Whoberley
Woodlands

2010 map:


2011 map:


Cartogram of the 2011 results (showing each ward according to its voting power):


Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections):
Bablake is 2C/1Lab and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Cheylesmore is 2C/1Lab and the Conservatives are defending in May.
St Michael's is 2Lab/1SocAlt and the Socialist Alternative (former Labour MP Dave Nellist) are defending in May.
Sherbourne is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Upper Stoke is 2Lab/1LD and the Liberal Democrats are defending in May.
Westwood is 2C/1Lab and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Whoberley is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Woodlands is 2C/1Lab and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Wyken is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
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Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever
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« Reply #17 on: April 08, 2012, 12:53:48 PM »

Dudley 2011.  Changes based on 2007:

C gain from LD
Kingswinford North and Wall Heath

Lab gain from C
Gornal (by 2 votes)
Upper Gornal and Woodsetton

Ward name changes
Cradley and Foxcote to Cradley and Wollescote
Lye and Wollescote to Lye and Stourbridge North

2010 map:


2011 map:


Cartogram of the 2011 results (showing each ward according to its voting power).  It's strange how homogeneous in geographical size Dudley's wards are, I have trouble telling the difference between the map and the cartogram:


Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections):
Brockmoor and Pensnett is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Gornal is 2C/1Lab and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Lye and Stourbridge North is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Netherton, Woodside and St Andrews is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
St James's is 2Lab/1UKIP and UKIP are defending in May.
Upper Gornal and Woodsetton is 2C/1Lab and the Conservatives are defending in May.
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« Reply #18 on: April 09, 2012, 05:46:59 AM »
« Edited: April 09, 2012, 07:37:53 AM by Chancellor of the Duchy of Smithills »

Sandwell 2011.  Changes based on 2007:

Lab gain from C
Wednesbury North

Lab gain from LD
Great Barr with Yew Tree
Newton

2010 map:


2011 map:


Cartogram of the 2011 results (showing each ward according to its voting power):


Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections):
Blackheath is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Bristnall is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Cradley Heath and Old Hill is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Great Barr with Yew Tree is 2Lab/1LD and the Liberal Democrats are defending in May.
Newton is 2LD/1Lab and the Liberal Democrats are defending in May.
Old Warley is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Princes End is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Wednesbury North is 2C/1Lab and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Wednesbury South is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
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« Reply #19 on: April 09, 2012, 07:38:05 AM »

Well spotted.
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Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever
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« Reply #20 on: April 09, 2012, 10:08:24 AM »

Solihull 2011.  Changes based on 2007:

C gain from LD
Blythe
Shirley East
Shirley South
Shirley West
Silhill

Grn gain from Lab
Chelmsley Wood
Smith's Wood

2010 map:


2011 map:


Cartogram of the 2011 results (showing each ward according to its voting power):


Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections):
Chelmsley Wood is 2Lab/1Grn and Labour are defending in May.
Kingshurst and Fordbridge is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Shirley East is 2LD/1C and the Liberal Democrats are defending in May.
Shirley South is 2C/1LD and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Shirley West is 2LD/1C and the Liberal Democrats are defending in May.
Smith's Wood is 2Grn/1Lab and the Green Party are defending in May.
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« Reply #21 on: April 09, 2012, 04:30:19 PM »

Last map tonight, Walsall 2011.  Changes based on 2007:

Lab gain from C
Bloxwich East
Bloxwich West
Palfrey
Pleck
St Matthew's

Lab gain from Democratic Lab
Blakenall

Lab gain from Ind
Darlaston South

Lab gain from LD
Willenhall North

2010 map:


2011 map:


Cartogram of the 2011 results (showing each ward according to its voting power):


Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections):
Bloxwich East is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Bloxwich West is 2C/1Lab and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Brownhills is 2C/1Lab and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Darlaston South is 2Lab/1Ind and Labour are defending in May.
Palfrey is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
St Matthew's is 2C/1Lab and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Willenhall North is 2LD/1Lab and the Liberal Democrats are defending in May.
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« Reply #22 on: April 10, 2012, 05:08:41 PM »

A Labour councillor in Shirley?  Shirley some mistake?
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« Reply #23 on: April 14, 2012, 04:59:35 PM »

Excellent work, leftbehind.

Final map in my West Midlands series, Wolverhampton 2011.  Changes based on 2007:

Lab gain from C
Bushbury North
Oxley
Wednesfield North
Wednesfield South

Lab gain from LD
Park

2010 map:


2011 map (Ettingshall was unopposed):


Cartogram of the 2011 results (showing each ward according to its voting power):


Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections):
Bilston North is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
East Park is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Fallings Park is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Heath Town is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Oxley is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Park is 2Lab/1LD and the Liberal Democrats are defending in May.
Wednesfield North is 2C/1Lab and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Wednesfield South is 2C/1Lab and the Conservatives are defending in May.
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« Reply #24 on: April 21, 2012, 10:45:58 AM »

Start of a new series for West Yorkshire.  I'm hoping to get these out as soon as possible, given that I am busy this weekend with Gallipoli anniversary events, and then that will be it before the May elections.

Bradford 2011.  Changes based on 2007:

Lab gain from C
Bowling and Barkerend
Keighley Central

Lab gain from LD
Eccleshill
Manningham
Windhill and Wrose

2010 map:


2011 map:


Cartogram of the 2011 results (showing each ward according to its voting power):


Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections):
Baildon is 2C/1LD and the Liberal Democrats are defending in May.
Bowling and Barkerend is 2C/1Lab and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Bradford Moor is 2Lab/1LD and the Liberal Democrats are defending in May.
Clayton and Fairweather Green is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Eccleshill is 2LD/1Lab and the Liberal Democrats are defending in May.
Heaton is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Keighley East is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Keighley West is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Queensbury is 2BNP/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Toller is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in May.
Windhill and Wrose is 2Lab/1LD and the Liberal Democrats are defending in May.
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