NJ Elections : Poll - Dems have edge going into election --- More on Elections

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

My calls.

SENATE (pickups in bold)
01 - Van Drew by 4.1%.
02 - Whelan by 10.2%.
07 - Allen by 22.3%.
08 - Haines by 5.1%.
11 - S. Kean by 17.3%.
12 - Beck by 0.8%.
14 - Baroni by 19.5%.
39 - Cardinale by 13.8%.

NET: 1 Dem pickup (01, 02, 12).

ASSEMBLY (pickups in bold)
01 - Albano (1), Donahue (2), Clark (3), Milam (4)
02 - Polistina (1), Amodeo (2), Wilkins (3), Spellman (4)
08 - Rudder (1), Addiego (2), Riley (3), Fifis (4)
11 - Rible (1), Angelini (2), Napolitani (3), Pirnat (4)
12 - Panter (1), O'Scanlon (2), Casagrande (3), Mallet (4)
14 - Greenstein (1), Goodwin (2), Bushman (3), D'Angelo (4)
36 - Scalera (1), Schaer (2), Pio Costa (3), Diorio (4)
39 - Vandervalk (1), Rooney (2), Manna (3), Fletcher (4)

NET: 3 GOP pickups (01, 02, 08).

I anticipate Assembly 8 and 39 to be much closer than I had previously thought.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

New Jersey Election Results live: http://www.njn.net/television/webcast/livestreaming.html

Coverage has already started; polls close at 8 PM.

[MAS117]

New Jersey Election Results live: http://www.njn.net/television/webcast/livestreaming.html

Coverage has already started; polls close at 8 PM.

Hmm, I can't seem to get it to work. I will try again at 8 once the polls close.

[MAS117]

My calls.

SENATE (pickups in bold)
01 - Van Drew by 4.1%.
02 - Whelan by 10.2%.
07 - Allen by 22.3%.
08 - Haines by 5.1%.
11 - S. Kean by 17.3%.
12 - Beck by 0.8%.
14 - Baroni by 19.5%.
39 - Cardinale by 13.8%.

NET: 1 Dem pickup (01, 02, 12).

ASSEMBLY (pickups in bold)
01 - Albano (1), Donahue (2), Clark (3), Milam (4)
02 - Polistina (1), Amodeo (2), Wilkins (3), Spellman (4)
08 - Rudder (1), Addiego (2), Riley (3), Fifis (4)
11 - Rible (1), Angelini (2), Napolitani (3), Pirnat (4)
12 - Panter (1), O'Scanlon (2), Casagrande (3), Mallet (4)
14 - Greenstein (1), Goodwin (2), Bushman (3), D'Angelo (4)
36 - Scalera (1), Schaer (2), Pio Costa (3), Diorio (4)
39 - Vandervalk (1), Rooney (2), Manna (3), Fletcher (4)

NET: 3 GOP pickups (01, 02, 08).

I anticipate Assembly 8 and 39 to be much closer than I had previously thought.

Those are fairly good predictions. I agree with you on pretty much everything on the Senate side. As per the Assembly, I can't really made an informed judgment about it, because I am a Senate guy by heart. My knowledge is more there, although it doesn't look too improbable.

[MAS117]

I'd also like to mention that there is a massive stem cell funding proposition being voted on today by NJ Citizens. I voted absentee ballot, and voted YES for all four of the ballot questions.

[Conan]

State Senate - District 1 - General

County Precincts
Total 109/204

Van Drew
13,486
56%

Asselta
10,654
44%
 

Newer
128/204
15,878
56%
12,263
44%

[Sam Spade]

State Senate - District 1 - General

County Precincts
Total 109/204

Van Drew
13,486
56%

Asselta
10,654
44%
 

Link please...

[Conan]

State Senate - District 1 - General

County Precincts
Total 109/204

Van Drew
13,486
56%

Asselta
10,654
44%
 

Link please...

http://elections.nj.com/dynamic/files/elections/2007/by_county/NJ_State_Senate_1106.html?SITE=NJNEWELN&SECTION=POLITICS

[Verily]

Assembly:
Milam looks to probably be home safe in the 1st district. With Cape May County mostly in, Milam leads Donohue by a little over 1,000 votes, and Cape May County is the most Republican of the three counties in the district.

Things are very tight in the 12th district so far, with only parts of Monmouth County in. Nothing from Mercer yet, but the district's mostly in Monmouth.

Diorio leads Schaer in the 36th district, but all of the reporting precincts are in Bergen County and the result is within 200 votes right now.

Senate:
Van Drew leads Asselta by over 3,000 votes in the 1st district. Again, it's mostly Cape May County so far.

Beck leads Karcher by just about 1,500 votes in the 12th district with around 50% reporting.

[Sam Spade]

thanks

[Conan]

Both Milam and Albano are leading with Van Drew in the 1st.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Assembly:
Milam looks to probably be home safe in the 1st district. With Cape May County mostly in, Milam leads Donohue by a little over 1,000 votes, and Cape May County is the most Republican of the three counties in the district.

Ironically, though, Van Drew was expected to run strongest in Cape May County, having to run up a significant enough lead there to overcome Asselta's lead from his home base around Vineland.

[Conan]

Sonny McCullough is conceding to George Norcross very graciously.

[MAS117]

Sonny McCullough is conceding to George Norcross very graciously.

Senator Jim Whelan, sounds nice.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Sonny McCullough is conceding to George Norcross very graciously.

And it sounds like the GOP picked up Whelan's Assembly seat.

[Conan]

Sonny McCullough is conceding to George Norcross very graciously.

Senator Jim Whelan, sounds nice.

I'd prefer Congressman.

Sonny McCullough is conceding to George Norcross very graciously.

And it sounds like the GOP picked up Whelan's Assembly seat.

That's what I overheard at his concession but I think that was just "We're gonna win" stuff so far.

[Verily]

Sonny McCullough is conceding to George Norcross very graciously.

And it sounds like the GOP picked up Whelan's Assembly seat.

Nothing in from the 2nd yet but rumors.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

That's what I overheard at his concession but I think that was just "We're gonna win" stuff so far.

From the polls I saw, it'd be a heck of an upset if it turned out to be a faulty prediction.

Sonny McCullough is conceding to George Norcross very graciously.

And it sounds like the GOP picked up Whelan's Assembly seat.

Nothing in from the 2nd yet but rumors.

Except for the part about McCullough conceeding.

[Verily]

Assembly:
Milam looks to probably be home safe in the 1st district. With Cape May County mostly in, Milam leads Donohue by a little over 1,000 votes, and Cape May County is the most Republican of the three counties in the district.

Ironically, though, Van Drew was expected to run strongest in Cape May County, having to run up a significant enough lead there to overcome Asselta's lead from his home base around Vineland.

Well, this may have trickled down to Milam, but given the local penchant for ticket-splitting, I think it less likely than otherwise. Still, the race is tight for that Assembly seat, no doubt.

Van Drew did indeed perform better in Cape May than Cumberland, at least so far, though he's winning in both counties (with 57% and 55%).

On the other hand, the Democrats are crushing the Republicans for the 1st Assembly seat in Cumberland while Milam just barely trails in Cape May.

[MAS117]

The Press of AC hasnt updated their numbers since 915 so the Assembly side seems up in the air, although someone is giving a victor speech at the Sonny HQ.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Milam seems to be in much better shape than I thought; Panter in much worse.  We'll see.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

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[MAS117]

Just another update:

 State Senate 14th District
65/84 77.38%
Under Votes    742    
Over Votes    0    
          
     Vote Count    Percent
Rep - Bill Baroni    18,737    73.26%
Dem - Seema Singh    6,819    26.66%
Personal Choice    20    0.08%
Total    25,576    100.00%

As expected!

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Democrats easily picked up Marlboro; Republicans easily picked up Brick and Toms River.

I think Gilmore's days are numbered in Hamilton, too, but no official numbers to report.

[MAS117]

 State Senate 12th District
138/146 94.52%
Under Votes    1634    
Over Votes    0    
          
     Vote Count    Percent
Rep - Jennifer BECK    21,806    54.77%
Dem - Ellen KARCHER    17,935    45.04%
Write-In    76    0.19%
Total    39,817    100.00%


 General Assembly 12th District
138/146 94.52%
Under Votes    6371    
Over Votes    0    
          
     Vote Count    Percent
Rep - Declan O'SCANLON, Jr.    20,059    26.21%
Rep - Caroline CASAGRANDE    19,933    26.05%
Dem - Mike PANTER    18,612    24.32%
Dem - Amy MALLET    17,866    23.34%
Write-In    61    0.08%
Total    76,531    100.00%