Cleland Would Make a Race in Georgia
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  Cleland Would Make a Race in Georgia
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Adlai Stevenson
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« on: October 27, 2007, 03:46:41 AM »

A new InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion survey in Georgia finds that a rematch of Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R-GA) versus former Sen. Max Cleland (D), who lost to Chambliss in 2002, might be the Democratic Party’s strongest hope for reclaiming the Senate seat.

The poll found Chambliss leading Cleland 36% to 24%, with 40% undecided.

Said pollster Matt Towery: "The key to this survey versus other surveys that have been conducted with other potential U.S. Senate candidates is that when you add Cleland to the mix, the undecided vote soars, leaving Chambliss well below the 50 percent mark."

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2007/10/26/cleland_would_make_a_race_in_georgia.html

The survey showed some interesting numbers, said InsiderAdvantage CEO Matt Towery, noting that while white voters were decided at a rate of nearly 71 percent, African-American voters were undecided at a rate of 73 percent. Similarly, he said, 73 percent of all Republicans were decided, with Chambliss receiving almost all of that vote, while 47 percent of Democrats remained undecided.

“The key to this survey versus other surveys that have been conducted with other potential U.S. Senate candidates is that when you add Cleland to the mix, the undecided vote soars, leaving Chambliss well below the 50 percent mark,” he said. “My guess is that a well-funded Cleland campaign would still be an underdog, but would have more than a legitimate chance of potentially pulling off an upset, given the fact that among independent voters, Chambliss led by only 7 points with some 38 percent stating that they were undecided.”

The margin of error was plus or minus 5 percent and the poll was weighted for age, gender, race and political affiliation.

http://www.insideradvantagegeorgia.com/restricted/2007/October%202007/10-26-07/Poll_Cleland_Chambliss102619633.php
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2007, 07:46:21 AM »

After the poisonous 2002 race, Cleland isn't going to run again. Ever.

Plus, the way Georgia is tacking hard right, even he wouldn't have much of a chance.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2007, 08:42:47 AM »

cleland would lose by double digits.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2007, 11:19:58 AM »


great poll.
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bullmoose88
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« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2007, 11:35:02 AM »

To make the obvious, terrible joke here, I doubt Cleland could win a race against anyone.

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Joe Republic
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« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2007, 12:34:53 PM »

To make the obvious, terrible joke here, I doubt Cleland could win a race against anyone.

He'd have a fairly decent chance against Rep. James Langevin (D-RI).
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bullmoose88
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« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2007, 02:50:34 PM »

To make the obvious, terrible joke here, I doubt Cleland could win a race against anyone.

He'd have a fairly decent chance against Rep. James Langevin (D-RI).

Zing.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2007, 02:59:58 PM »

Why is Insider Advantage wasting their below-average polling abilities on this next-to-impossible scenario?
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2007, 04:11:44 PM »

Why is Insider Advantage wasting their below-average polling abilities on this next-to-impossible scenario?

Its odd that two polls appeared on this race at the same time as well; Georgia doesn't experience the same polling drought as its Deep South neighbour Mississippi, apparently. 
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #9 on: October 27, 2007, 09:32:57 PM »

BREAKING: A DEMOCRAT POLLING AT 24% IN GEORGIA NOW A SIGN OF STRENGTH
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Gabu
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« Reply #10 on: October 27, 2007, 10:39:11 PM »

That would be hilarious if Cleland won his seat back, but yeah, not happening.
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Cubby
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« Reply #11 on: October 28, 2007, 04:35:48 AM »

Its odd that two polls appeared on this race at the same time as well; Georgia doesn't experience the same polling drought as its Deep South neighbour Mississippi, apparently. 

Mississippi has 3 Million People
Georgia has 9 Million People

The larger a state is, the more likely it is to have polls taken. (Unless its an early primary state, like IA or NH). With states like Alaska and Wyoming, getting an accurate sample size (especially by party) must be more difficult.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #12 on: October 28, 2007, 03:00:44 PM »

Why is Insider Advantage wasting their below-average polling abilities on this next-to-impossible scenario?

Its odd that two polls appeared on this race at the same time as well; Georgia doesn't experience the same polling drought as its Deep South neighbour Mississippi, apparently. 

Both Insider Advantage and Strategic Vision are based in GA, as I seem to remember.  That may explain the polling.
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opebo
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« Reply #13 on: October 28, 2007, 03:25:04 PM »

BREAKING: A DEMOCRAT POLLING AT 24% IN GEORGIA NOW A SIGN OF STRENGTH

Yeah, we got past our association with that horrible place.
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #14 on: October 29, 2007, 05:13:53 PM »

Georgia has gone the way of Texas, going from being a somewhat Republican state with a lot of conservative dems to being a hardcore republican state. The Dems shouldn't waste their time there. Better to focus on the midwest, the Mountain West, and the Upper South/Border states.
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