Mississippi Senate 2008: Zogby approval- disapproval polls
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  Mississippi Senate 2008: Zogby approval- disapproval polls
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Author Topic: Mississippi Senate 2008: Zogby approval- disapproval polls  (Read 1566 times)
Adlai Stevenson
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« on: November 29, 2007, 04:35:38 PM »
« edited: November 29, 2007, 04:43:41 PM by Adlai Stevenson »

Former Congressman Chip Pickering (R) 64%-13%-3%

Former Governor Ray Mabus (D) 28%-54%-20% (adds up to 102%?!)

Lieutenant Governor Amy Tuck (R) 51%-35%-13%

State Senator Charles Ross (R) 26%-27%-48%

It comes with this disclaimer:

    Please note that this is a preliminary report. These figures have not been weighted for age, race, or gender. These raw numbers overstate the opinions of women and understate the opinions of African American voters by more than half. Additionally, the survey results understate the opinions of voters under age 50. This preliminary survey significantly overstates the opinions of Republican voters.

http://cottonmouthblog.blogspot.com/2007/11/more-polling-numbers-for-lotts-open.html


Congressman Roger Wicker (R) 39%-13%-48%

Former Attorney General Mike Moore (D) 48%-34%-19% (adds up to 101%?!)

Somebody? Graves (R) 16%-19%-65%

Former Governor Ronnie Musgrove (D) 39%-46%-15%

The pollster notes that these results haven't been weighed yet:

    Please note that this is a preliminary report. These figures have not been weighted for age, race, or gender. Additionally, the partial surveys are included here. These raw numbers overstate the opinions of women (62% of respondents) and under represent the opinions of African American voters (14%). Additionally, the survey results understate the opinions of voters under age 50 (18%).

http://cottonmouthblog.blogspot.com/
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Harry
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« Reply #1 on: November 29, 2007, 06:13:41 PM »

Nothing particularly surprising.  Pickering is the Republican's strongest candidate, and Moore most likely beats anyone else.

Graves is James Graves, an African American Democrat on the state Supreme Court.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #2 on: November 29, 2007, 06:27:08 PM »

Well then, that's settled.  The seat is Pickering's to keep, should he want it.
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Harry
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« Reply #3 on: November 30, 2007, 12:03:08 AM »

Pickering's numbers don't add to nearly 100.  Something's off.

Anyhow, yes, in Pickering vs. Moore, Pickering has the advantage, but it could go either way.
In anyone else vs. Moore, Moore has the advantage, but it could go either way.
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HardRCafé
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« Reply #4 on: November 30, 2007, 12:22:41 AM »

Anyhow, yes, in Pickering vs. Moore, Pickering has the advantage, but it could go either way.

If Pickering propositioned Moore on live television, perhaps.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #5 on: November 30, 2007, 12:55:29 AM »

Anyhow, yes, in Pickering vs. Moore, Pickering has the advantage, but it could go either way.

If Pickering propositioned Moore on live television, perhaps.

Pickering is significantly more popular than Moore, Moore is significantly more unpopular than Pickering.

Clearly, you are misinterpreting this poll, as it was clear this poll was taken on "opposite day."  You need also remember that there's a built in Democratic advantage in Mississippi—it's why they've held both Senate seats for decades now.

Also, when you really, really, really want something to be true, it often turns out to be so!

That's why you got burned and had to wear that red D avatar for a month.

Play with fire and you get burned.
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BRTD
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« Reply #6 on: November 30, 2007, 12:59:59 AM »

I don't believe Pickering has 64% approval (impossible for a Republican in Mississippi because of blacks), but this is Zogby, and everything put out by Zogby is completely worthless garbage of no value whatsoever, so toss this.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #7 on: November 30, 2007, 01:11:04 AM »

Well, this poll is both a Zogby poll and it says quite clearly that it "significantly overstates the opinions of Republican voters." So, I don't know that we can really glean any information from it that's worth anything.

Apparently Daily Kos commissioned a Research 2000 poll for the Mississippi race. Don't know when it'll be released though.
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Harry
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« Reply #8 on: November 30, 2007, 01:35:25 AM »

Anyhow, yes, in Pickering vs. Moore, Pickering has the advantage, but it could go either way.

If Pickering propositioned Moore on live television, perhaps.

Pickering is significantly more popular than Moore, Moore is significantly more unpopular than Pickering.

Clearly, you are misinterpreting this poll, as it was clear this poll was taken on "opposite day."  You need also remember that there's a built in Democratic advantage in Mississippi—it's why they've held both Senate seats for decades now.

Also, when you really, really, really want something to be true, it often turns out to be so!

That's why you got burned and had to wear that red D avatar for a month.

Play with fire and you get burned.

I forgot, you know way more about Mississippi than me.  That's why you posted on the forum that Lott was resigning the day before the media knew.
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Aizen
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« Reply #9 on: November 30, 2007, 06:44:14 PM »

Listen, he knows MUCH more about Mississippi than you do.
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CavanaughPark
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« Reply #10 on: November 30, 2007, 09:58:26 PM »



I forgot, you know way more about Mississippi than me.  That's why you posted on the forum that Lott was resigning the day before the media knew.

Care for another bet?
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Harry
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« Reply #11 on: December 01, 2007, 11:35:49 AM »

I forgot, you know way more about Mississippi than me.  That's why you posted on the forum that Lott was resigning the day before the media knew.
Care for another bet?
I got burned last time when my smart bet turned sour in the closing week, but if you have an idea for a bet I'll at least listen to your conditions.
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