2009 NJ Prediction

[Smash255]

... and that caused the difference of 9 points?  Yeah right.

"Meet DownWithDaLeft; same clueless hack as the old DownWithDaLeft."  (Although at least you appear to have learned to spell during your absence.)

The polls seem to suggest that it did, NJ has a large number of undecided until the end of the election that typically break hard Democrat at the end (much larger than 9%), if they broke less hard than usual (which they broke harder than usual for the Dems), Kean would have won

What poll? No poll I read. It's just a ridiculous allegation.

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2006/polls.php?fips=34

Notice a sudden aberration end of September early Oct?

It called chronic NJ polling.  We have seen this many times over.  Polling especially ones further out from Election Day show things much better for the GOP than the end result does.   As Election Day get closer the polls tend to swing Democratic and are much closer to the end result than the earlier polling (though at times they are still too GOP friendly).  Granted no matter where you are polls closer to Election day are going to be more likely accurate than polls further away from Election day.  However it generally breaks both ways, sometimes the earlier polls are more GOP than the final result, other times they are more Democratic.  NJ though has a special  tradition of their polls, especially their early polls being more friendly to the GOP than reality and the final result.  Its nothing new.