Bayh Indiana
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 02:30:10 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  Bayh Indiana
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Bayh Indiana  (Read 906 times)
ukchris82
Rookie
**
Posts: 84
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 14, 2007, 11:43:41 AM »



If the VP is Evan Bayh, can the dems win Indiana?

Chris
Logged
AndrewTX
AndrewCT
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,091


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 14, 2007, 11:47:35 AM »

No dice, unless they are up against Romney, than maybe. BUT, with Bayh on the ticket as VP, he can probably bring the republicans to a 53% win margin. If the ticket is elected, and popular when up for re-election, maybe.
Logged
auburntiger
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,233
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.61, S: 0.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 14, 2007, 01:13:43 PM »

No. With him it will be something like 57-43 for the Republican.
Edwards made NC 56-44 Bush. NC would have likely been stronger Bush had Edwards not been on the ticket. Same for Bayh as Hillary's VP.
Logged
AndrewTX
AndrewCT
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,091


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 14, 2007, 01:17:25 PM »

Difference is Edwards brought nothing to the state as a Senator, and was unpopular in the state at the end of his term. It's likely ( I wish I could find that poll), that he would have lost re-election if he ran again. Bayh was a popular Governor, and is still a popular Senator. He can make the state close, that's for sure.
Logged
auburntiger
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,233
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.61, S: 0.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 14, 2007, 01:20:58 PM »

Difference is Edwards brought nothing to the state as a Senator, and was unpopular in the state at the end of his term. It's likely ( I wish I could find that poll), that he would have lost re-election if he ran again. Bayh was a popular Governor, and is still a popular Senator. He can make the state close, that's for sure.

Ok, I see. I had forgotten Edwards was unpopular in NC at that time. But if Hillary is at the top of the ticket, i doubt she will get within 10%.
Logged
Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 14, 2007, 05:35:51 PM »

Difference is Edwards brought nothing to the state as a Senator, and was unpopular in the state at the end of his term. It's likely ( I wish I could find that poll), that he would have lost re-election if he ran again. Bayh was a popular Governor, and is still a popular Senator. He can make the state close, that's for sure.

Ok, I see. I had forgotten Edwards was unpopular in NC at that time. But if Hillary is at the top of the ticket, i doubt she will get within 10%.

I believe she will get within 5%
Logged
Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 14, 2007, 05:37:24 PM »

Under the right circumstances, she could take Indiana if she has Bayh on the ticket.  The GOP nominee would need to be bad (Romney, Giuliani), and the winds would have to blow Democratic.
Logged
Bay Ridge, Bklyn! Born and Bred
MikeyCNY
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,181


Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: -4.87

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 14, 2007, 08:40:08 PM »

With Clinton at the head of the ticket, it don't matter if Jebus Christ himself were her running mate, Indiana will not vote for Hillary.   Ever.  (Same goes for Obama.  Indiana is, arguably, the most racist state in the country)

If Evan Bayh was the nominee, however, he would have absolutely picked up Indiana and Ohio.   Those two states would not even be competitive...and Kentucky, even.  Easily.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,611


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 14, 2007, 11:46:21 PM »

Bayh hurts the Democrats elsewhere.
Logged
Bay Ridge, Bklyn! Born and Bred
MikeyCNY
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,181


Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: -4.87

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 15, 2007, 08:39:16 AM »



Not nearly as much as Hillary, Edwards, and Obama.
Logged
StateBoiler
fe234
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,890


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 15, 2007, 08:46:13 AM »

...just maaaaaaybe with Giuliani, although it would be a stretch
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.039 seconds with 13 queries.