UK Opinion Polls Thread

[Democratic Hawk]

Many Lib Dems seem to want Nick to take a more "aggressive" approach in articulating their party's values because right now he seems all too willing to play the role of some 'compliant wife'. If it walks like a duck, sounds like a duck, in all probability, it is a duck

If they wanted to remain a separate entity, they shouldn't have entered the coalition with all but one of their MPs agreeing. If they're so annoyed, get a new leader.

There must be a lot of people who feel "duped" by the Liberal Democrats voting their way because they believed they were a centre-left alternative to Labour

[You kip if you want to...]

Many Lib Dems seem to want Nick to take a more "aggressive" approach in articulating their party's values because right now he seems all too willing to play the role of some 'compliant wife'. If it walks like a duck, sounds like a duck, in all probability, it is a duck

If they wanted to remain a separate entity, they shouldn't have entered the coalition with all but one of their MPs agreeing. If they're so annoyed, get a new leader.

There must be a lot of people who feel "duped" by the Liberal Democrats voting their way because they believed they were a centre-left alternative to Labour

Or, to quote Bremner, Bird and Fortune people watched the first debate and just thought "...who is that man standing next to Gordon Brown? Y'know, I want him to be prime minister."

[Democratic Hawk]

Or, to quote Bremner, Bird and Fortune people watched the first debate and just thought "...who is that man standing next to Gordon Brown? Y'know, I want him to be prime minister."

Aye, "Cleggmania" . Fed the ol' ego a bit didn't it?

[You kip if you want to...]

Or, to quote Bremner, Bird and Fortune people watched the first debate and just thought "...who is that man standing next to Gordon Brown? Y'know, I want him to be prime minister."

Aye, "Cleggmania" . Fed the ol' ego a bit didn't it?

Not half. To think, he was god's gift to politics 4 months ago.

[Phony Moderate]

YouGov Government Approval:

Approve - 39%
Disapprove - 41%

[You kip if you want to...]

Tonight's YouGov brings yet another new low for the Orange Tories.

43-38-11. LOL

Not long until the two coalition parties aren't even polling above 50% together.

[Phony Moderate]

Tonight's YouGov brings yet another new low for the Orange Tories.

43-38-11. LOL

Not long until the two coalition parties aren't even polling above 50% together.

According to ElectoralCalculus, if that poll was repeated in a General Election (on a UNS), Simon Hughes, Alan Beith, Nick Harvey, Chris Huhne and Vince Cable would all be ousted.

[You kip if you want to...]

Tonight's YouGov brings yet another new low for the Orange Tories.

43-38-11. LOL

Not long until the two coalition parties aren't even polling above 50% together.

According to ElectoralCalculus, if that poll was repeated in a General Election (on a UNS), Simon Hughes, Alan Beith, Nick Harvey, Chris Huhne and Vince Cable would all be ousted.

Well, it's not like they voted No or abstained on the coalition vote (like Kennedy), so they deserve to be ousted.

[You kip if you want to...]

Tonight's YouGov:
40 (-1) CON
39 (+1) LAB
12 (nc) LD

It'd be funny if we get a poll with both parties at 40 or above. Let's not forget, such a thing's never happened at an election since 1970. The LD conference in Liverpool (where local LDs are dropping like flies, btw) should be funny.

I wonder when the calls for an LD leadership election will start rolling in.

[Phony Moderate]

Ipsos/MORI Poll:

National Government - 52% (Tories - 37%, Lib Dems - 15%)
Labour - 37%
Others - 11%

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YouGov at 42-38-11. If the Liberals aren't at 15ish tomorrow, they ought to be very worried. Although, yes, poll ratings like 11% are like superglue for the coalition. No way would they risk coming out of an election with 10-20 seats. They'd try and ditch Clegg, maybe, or maybe a few will defect to Labour, but they wouldn't terminate the coalition.

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YouGov at 39-39-13, first tie they've had. I don't know if the bigger story is the tie or the fact that the LDs started conference at 13% and, even after the speech of Clegg's political life, they've soared to... 13%.

[Phony Moderate]

YouGov at 39-39-13, first tie they've had. I don't know if the bigger story is the tie or the fact that the LDs started conference at 13% and, even after the speech of Clegg's political life, they've soared to... 13%.

Oh dear....I accidentally posted that in the wrong thread....

[Phony Moderate]

Anyway, I think we may see the Lib Dems going into single digits within the next week or two. Some Kennedyite Lib Dems who are not too keen on the coalition may switch their voting intentions to Labour in the aftermath of the leadership election results (albeit, maybe briefly).

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And, on the day Ed Miliband becomes the PM-in-waiting, we have:
Con - 39 (-2)
Lab - 38 (+1)
LD - 15 (+2)

Should wait till the Monday night tracker for a more accurate picture of the Mili-bounce.

[Phony Moderate]

YouGov Poll:

National Government - 51% (Tories - 39%, Lib Dems - 12%)
Labour - 40%
Others - 9%

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GOOD! If Labour are still ahead after the Tory conference, we're in for a good year or so atleast.

[Oakvale]

This a pleasant surprise - I was worried the "Red Ed" fearmongering would have taken its toll.

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This a pleasant surprise - I was worried the "Red Ed" fearmongering would have taken its toll.

It will, eventually. The media have already created the narrative.

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From last night's YouGov.

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41 39 12 - Today's YouGov. Labour down. Wonder how different this week would have been had those 6 Ed MPs voted for David...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Probably not much different, not that it really matters. But 39 = 9/10 points higher than in the General Election, or only slightly less support than in 2001. Most of the PLP would have killed for figures like those for most of the past five years.

The government isn't unpopular yet (neither is it popular anymore, of course. We're in that strange inbetween stage that can last for anything between weeks and years) so there's probably not much room for grossly inflated figures yet. You'll only see those once Tories start telling/lying the pollsters that they won't vote.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

ICM/Grauniad: Labour 37, Tories 35, LDems 18

First ICM Labour lead for three years, of course.

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Fail on the Murdoch media!

[Phony Moderate]

ICM/Grauniad: Labour 37, Tories 35, LDems 18

First ICM Labour lead for three years, of course.

Also, the lowest Tory vote share in a poll since the crazy days of the election campaign.