Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
Atlas Star
Posts: 24,076
Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -3.13
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« on: November 27, 2007, 01:27:48 AM » |
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i have lots of family and i grew up in NC as well, and I can also say he would not have won reelection in 2004 if he had run. he won that seat by a small margin and was hardly ever in the senate during his tenure there. if he were the nominee, it wouldn't matter in NC. he wouldn't get a bounce much at all.
The urban areas are trending more Democratic. In 2004, i think mecklenberg went to the dems for the first time in recent memory, as well as Gilford county. The triangle has always been heavily democratic. I could see a Democrat win 45-46% in NC, but it wont be a tossup.
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