I agree with all except number three. Mitt Romney's personal warchest is enough for him to sustain two early losses. I still think Republicans will soon look at their field and conclude that the Mormon from Massachusetts is their least repugnant choice.
McCain: Wears the apostate charge as a badge of honor. Sponsored disastrous, freedom-hating campaign finance law and opposed Bush's tax cuts.
Thompson: He's really comatose.
Huckabee: Pretty obvious why he won't win.
Giuliani: Could be out before has a chance to win. He's still a pro-choice, gay-rights supporting mayor of liberal bastion NYC and his trump card is growing less and less salient.