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  Which of these states become "up-for-grabs" if the GOP nominates Huckabee
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Question: Well?
#1
West Virginia
 
#2
Virginia
 
#3
Tennessee
 
#4
Texas
 
#5
Kentucky
 
#6
Arizona
 
#7
Georgia
 
#8
Indiana
 
#9
North Carlonia
 
#10
Huckabee will lose in a 45 state wipe-out
 
#11
No, seriously, I honeslty do think that people would consider voting for Huckabee... well, at least consider it
 
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Author Topic: Which of these states become "up-for-grabs" if the GOP nominates Huckabee  (Read 3992 times)
Torie
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« Reply #25 on: January 02, 2008, 07:34:44 pm »

Virginia won't be up for grabs because Huckabee would not be competitive there.
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Dirty Dan
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« Reply #26 on: January 02, 2008, 07:41:26 pm »

Virginia won't be up for grabs because Huckabee would not be competitive there.

Exactly. Some states would be just be considered "blue". Places like Nevada and Wisconsin come to mind.
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The Duke
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« Reply #27 on: January 02, 2008, 07:47:46 pm »

I love how now so many believe WV has become such a GOP stronghold that it's even safer than states where Bush even got a higher percentage.

Its not that its a stronghold, its that its a place that's pretty well suited to Huckabee and not very well suited for a woman or an African American who have essentially no moderate positions.
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Dirty Dan
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« Reply #28 on: January 02, 2008, 07:53:33 pm »

I love how now so many believe WV has become such a GOP stronghold that it's even safer than states where Bush even got a higher percentage.

Its not that its a stronghold, its that its a place that's pretty well suited to Huckabee and not very well suited for a woman or an African American who have essentially no moderate positions.

Yeah. Though McCain v. Clinton might make it pretty interesting...
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« Reply #29 on: January 02, 2008, 10:18:38 pm »

I love how now so many believe WV has become such a GOP stronghold that it's even safer than states where Bush even got a higher percentage.

Its not that its a stronghold, its that its a place that's pretty well suited to Huckabee and not very well suited for a woman or an African American who have essentially no moderate positions.

Yeah, I'm sure they'll love Huckabee's national sales tax.
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Smash255
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« Reply #30 on: January 02, 2008, 10:28:50 pm »

Virginia won't be up for grabs because Huckabee would not be competitive there.

Agreed.  Huckabee would be flat out massacred in Northern Virginia, and he would bring Davis (who is in enough trouble as it is) down with him.
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The Duke
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« Reply #31 on: January 03, 2008, 12:12:58 am »

I love how now so many believe WV has become such a GOP stronghold that it's even safer than states where Bush even got a higher percentage.

Its not that its a stronghold, its that its a place that's pretty well suited to Huckabee and not very well suited for a woman or an African American who have essentially no moderate positions.

Yeah, I'm sure they'll love Huckabee's national sales tax.

I hate the FairTax, but it does include a rebate that makes it more attractive to lower income Americans than most sales tax proposals.

What they'll really like is the populist rhetoric and focus on cultural issues.
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« Reply #32 on: January 03, 2008, 11:37:15 pm »

Arizona, West Virginia, Virginia, maybe Kentucky.

Montana should be on the list, especially if Texas is.
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Dirty Dan
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« Reply #33 on: January 04, 2008, 01:41:44 am »

Virginia won't be up for grabs because Huckabee would not be competitive there.

Agreed.  Huckabee would be flat out massacred in Northern Virginia, and he would bring Davis (who is in enough trouble as it is) down with him.

Virginia seems to be a slaughterhouse for the GOP this year.
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opebo
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« Reply #34 on: January 04, 2008, 02:21:06 am »

Huckabee should win all these states, though I suppose he could lose Virginia, West Virginia, or Arizona.  I don't see how he is much different in his sources of support from GW or any other religious candidate.
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Jeff from NC
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« Reply #35 on: January 04, 2008, 11:26:57 am »

I think Huckabee wins these states in the end, though possibly has to spend more time shoring up the base there.  Remember, evangelicals are only a portion of the Republican base, even in the South.  Plenty of country-club conservatives who care more about keeping taxes low and the government small will need a lot of convincing to vote for Huckabee.

I think Huckabee would, however, lose badly in the Northeast (where Bush at least had a chance in New Hampshire and Maine) and in the marginal Western states that Clinton carried.  And a third-party libertarian run could muck with Montana or Wyoming.
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Dirty Dan
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« Reply #36 on: January 04, 2008, 02:24:04 pm »

I think Huckabee wins these states in the end, though possibly has to spend more time shoring up the base there.  Remember, evangelicals are only a portion of the Republican base, even in the South.  Plenty of country-club conservatives who care more about keeping taxes low and the government small will need a lot of convincing to vote for Huckabee.

I think Huckabee would, however, lose badly in the Northeast (where Bush at least had a chance in New Hampshire and Maine) and in the marginal Western states that Clinton carried.  And a third-party libertarian run could muck with Montana or Wyoming.

So, this is what the map would look like

Huckabee v. Any Big Three Democrat

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auburntiger
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« Reply #37 on: January 05, 2008, 12:33:29 pm »


Now that's just absurd

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Jeff from NC
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« Reply #38 on: January 06, 2008, 01:25:47 pm »

I think Huckabee wins these states in the end, though possibly has to spend more time shoring up the base there.  Remember, evangelicals are only a portion of the Republican base, even in the South.  Plenty of country-club conservatives who care more about keeping taxes low and the government small will need a lot of convincing to vote for Huckabee.

I think Huckabee would, however, lose badly in the Northeast (where Bush at least had a chance in New Hampshire and Maine) and in the marginal Western states that Clinton carried.  And a third-party libertarian run could muck with Montana or Wyoming.

So, this is what the map would look like

Huckabee v. Any Big Three Democrat



Yeah, and maybe Missouri could go Democratic as well.
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Dirty Dan
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« Reply #39 on: January 06, 2008, 09:25:22 pm »

Not against Hickabee...
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« Reply #40 on: January 08, 2008, 11:55:23 pm »

I'm not sure why people think the south will vote against Huckabee, rather than give him an even stronger percentage of the vote than most Republicans.

That populist garbage is going to play well down there.  Real well.

(Not so well in the purple states the dude needs to win, but I digress.)
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Dirty Dan
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« Reply #41 on: January 09, 2008, 12:12:31 am »

Uhhhhh... I get the same map each time ^^
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