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  2008 U.S. Presidential Election Campaign
  Obama v. McCain...
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Author Topic: Obama v. McCain...  (Read 13192 times)
paul718
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« Reply #25 on: November 24, 2008, 02:02:50 pm »


Yes, but only because the credit collapse sent everyone's projections out the window. 

Read the generic elections predictions in my sig.



Sorry.  I have signatures turned off.
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Matt Damon™
donut4mccain
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« Reply #26 on: November 24, 2008, 02:03:15 pm »

...do you think the Obama candidacy would create a racist reaction? i.e. calls for segregation ..etc...
no
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #27 on: November 27, 2008, 12:36:40 pm »


Yes, but only because the credit collapse sent everyone's projections out the window. 

Read the generic elections predictions in my sig.



Sorry.  I have signatures turned off.

Basically, my argument is that people always say "My prediction would have been right, in a universe where nothing unexpected had happened!"  But unexpected things happen in every single election.  It doesn't seem to deter people from making ironclad predictions about what's going to happen in each succeeding election.

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paul718
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« Reply #28 on: November 27, 2008, 09:17:51 pm »

Basically, my argument is that people always say "My prediction would have been right, in a universe where nothing unexpected had happened!"  But unexpected things happen in every single election.  It doesn't seem to deter people from making ironclad predictions about what's going to happen in each succeeding election.

I see.  You're right about that.  That's why I always try to preface any predictions I make with a closed-universe where the political climate remains consistent and no major events have happened.  But I guess that's essentially impossible. 
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Nym90
nym90
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« Reply #29 on: December 17, 2008, 07:11:33 am »

No way McCain wins Iowa before New Hampshire, Nevada or probably even Pennsylvania (or a few other states for that matter).

Ethanol, anyone?

He actually did come closer to winning Iowa than any of those other three states. Not that I would've disagreed with you at the time, of course.
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