D Primary NH: Were you wrong?
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  D Primary NH: Were you wrong?
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Question: Were you wrong in your predictions?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
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Total Voters: 40

Author Topic: D Primary NH: Were you wrong?  (Read 5449 times)
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Hashemite
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« on: January 09, 2008, 11:32:25 AM »

...
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Јas
Jas
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« Reply #1 on: January 09, 2008, 11:58:30 AM »

Ha!

Well, I went with Obama; >40%; Strong.
So yeah, you could say I got it wrong.

Makes a terrible start to the Dem predictions for me (I had Clinton; >30%; Tossup in Iowa).
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BenNebbich
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« Reply #2 on: January 09, 2008, 12:43:50 PM »

wrong is the wrong word.

wronger as wrong, maybe the wrongest.

no.

wronger than the wrongest. and a bit wronger than that.
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Kaine for Senate '18
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« Reply #3 on: January 09, 2008, 05:24:50 PM »

I had Clinton <20, instead of Clinton <30.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #4 on: January 09, 2008, 06:07:47 PM »

Yes, I had Obama at 40%.

And Edwards at 30% in Iowa. D'oh!
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Gabu
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« Reply #5 on: January 09, 2008, 08:14:29 PM »

Yes, Obama >40%.

Anyone who actually got it right probably just forgot to update their prediction after Iowa. Tongue
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #6 on: January 09, 2008, 08:59:17 PM »

Yes, I had Obama at 40%.

And Edwards at 30% in Iowa. D'oh!
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ilikeverin
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« Reply #7 on: January 09, 2008, 10:38:30 PM »

Yes, Obama >40%.

Anyone who actually got it right probably just forgot to update their prediction after Iowa. Tongue

I updated mine after Iowa Smiley

And I said Clinton>40% in NH.  Except she got 39%.  Dangit Wink
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Padfoot
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« Reply #8 on: January 10, 2008, 12:01:15 AM »

I had Obama 30% after Iowa so I was sorta right seeing as he was in the high 30s.  Hillary just got a better 30%.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #9 on: January 10, 2008, 12:28:33 AM »
« Edited: January 10, 2008, 02:00:09 AM by Fmr Gov. Polnut »

In the threads I predicted Obama to win NH and Clinton to IA.

But on the prediction thingy I had Edwards winning IA 30% and kept Clinton at 30% for NH... and I'm back.

I stick with my gut in the prediction - but go with the flow in the threads.
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Robespierre's Jaw
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« Reply #10 on: January 10, 2008, 12:35:40 AM »

I changed it from Obama >30% Lean to Obama >40% Strong at the last minute. Before hand I had Clinton winning NH at >30%. I should have stuck with that Tongue.
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Alcon
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« Reply #11 on: January 10, 2008, 12:36:25 AM »

In simple terms, I really suck.
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Gabu
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« Reply #12 on: January 10, 2008, 02:14:26 AM »


I've correctly predicted Iowa for the Democrats and New Hampshire for the Republicans.  That's it.  I did correctly call Wyoming for Romney, but I had it at 30% because I didn't know what the @#^% was going on there until it was too late.
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #13 on: January 10, 2008, 06:37:47 PM »

For NH I had Obama 40/McCain 30, for WY I had Romney 70% and for IA I had Huckabee 30/Edwards 30
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Jacobtm
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« Reply #14 on: January 17, 2008, 09:19:15 PM »

In Iowa, I predicted that Edwards would come ahead of Obama. I'd heard that Edwards' support was alot more concentrated in small, rural districts. So my logic went that even if a higher percentage of people favored Obama, Edwards could still win because he would get the support of many small precincts, while Obama would win the support of fewer, large precincts. I didn't know where Clinton would fall in all of this, but I predicted Edwards over Obama.

Obviously, I was wrong to underestimate Obama, so in NH, I over-estimated Obama's strength, and thought he would have at least a 3% win.


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Хahar 🤔
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« Reply #15 on: January 18, 2008, 12:38:32 PM »

I updated my prediction. D'oh!
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frihetsivrare
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« Reply #16 on: January 20, 2008, 08:12:22 PM »

At first I was correct because I had Clinton at >30%, but I was wrong because I switched it to Obama >30%.

My first post on the prediction board.
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