Jacobtm
Sr. Member
Posts: 3,216
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« on: January 17, 2008, 09:19:15 PM » |
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In Iowa, I predicted that Edwards would come ahead of Obama. I'd heard that Edwards' support was alot more concentrated in small, rural districts. So my logic went that even if a higher percentage of people favored Obama, Edwards could still win because he would get the support of many small precincts, while Obama would win the support of fewer, large precincts. I didn't know where Clinton would fall in all of this, but I predicted Edwards over Obama.
Obviously, I was wrong to underestimate Obama, so in NH, I over-estimated Obama's strength, and thought he would have at least a 3% win.
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