agcatter
YaBB God
Posts: 3,740
|
 |
« on: January 18, 2008, 10:54:58 AM » |
|
|
« edited: January 18, 2008, 10:59:25 AM by agcatter »
|
Surprisingly close.
Obama should sweep the black precincts and do very well in liberal upscale strongholds like San Francisco as well as the colleges throughout the state.
The problem in the Hispanic vote. He's got to crack that to win and I right now it's a steep uphill climb. I don't know what he can do to get into that vote.
Obama will carry a lot of delegates even if he doesn't win as long as it is close. To get the nomination however, he needs to WIN California. I'm pulling for him.
The only thing I see right now that could propel Obama here and offset the 2 to 1 he's going to lose Hispanics is a withdrawal and a strong endorsement from Edwards. That might inject the appearance of momentum and help with the working class whites. Unfortunately, that doesn't look like it is in the cards.
|
