official SC Democratic results thread
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #500 on: January 29, 2008, 01:20:42 PM »

Nice analysis, and again the subtleties arise. It's not strictly racial voting.
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Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
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« Reply #501 on: January 29, 2008, 01:23:33 PM »

Forsyth Smiley,

Is it likely, in your opinion, that Obama may have faired better among whites than the 24% support reported in exit polls?

Dave
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Ben.
Ben
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« Reply #502 on: January 29, 2008, 01:41:39 PM »

Forsyth Smiley,

Is it likely, in your opinion, that Obama may have faired better among whites than the 24% support reported in exit polls?

Dave

Think so, the margin of Obama's win points to him getting a bigger share of the white vote than the 24% that was reported and if it's the case it would be a very good thing too.
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Forsyth
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« Reply #503 on: January 29, 2008, 10:11:43 PM »

I think he may have done a little better than the exits.  No doubt, though, there was a lot of variation in how whites voted based on income.  I think it bodes well for Obama in the rest of the South, especially Georgia, although the percentages of the black vote he is getting would probably be enough for him to win anyway.  He's been running ads in Atlanta TV since last week.  I think it was the retail politicking he did in South Carolina that really blew his margin up, and unfortunately for him that's not possible from here on out.
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