CA-SUSA: Clinton +11, McCain +12

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http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7417510e-b5e4-4e94-a6f2-fd6e70635255

Clinton 49
Obama 38
Edwards 9


McCain 37
Romney 25
Huckabee 14
Giuliani 12

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looks like amazing news for Obama upon closer review, or just a bad poll...

it has 29% (!) of the likely Democratic electorate as Hispanic...  I know the population is accelerating and so on, but that seems so damn high.  the racial composition in the poll is 48% white, 29% Hispanic, 14% Asian, and 9% black.

I'll dig up the 2004 exit poll and see what the demographic breakdown looked like then.

and BTW Obama only loses whites by 2%.  and if the CA Primary is majority-minority, I'll eat my hat.

maybe only southern whites hate Obama.

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in 2004 the racial breakdown in CA was white 68%, hispanic 16%, black 8%, Asian 4%, other 5%.

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in 2004 the racial breakdown in CA was white 68%, hispanic 16%, black 8%, Asian 4%, other 5%.

Was the CA primary even contested in 2004? 

yes