Official Florida Primary Result Page (Bipartisan)
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Person Man
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« on: January 29, 2008, 04:32:57 PM »

Two primaries in the same state...let's try to keep it compact. Polls will close in  90 to 150 minutes.
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Verily
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« Reply #1 on: January 29, 2008, 04:35:03 PM »

Polls close at 6? That seems awfully early.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #2 on: January 29, 2008, 04:36:23 PM »

i think they close at 8....
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Meeker
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« Reply #3 on: January 29, 2008, 04:37:31 PM »

They close at 8, results probably start trickling in by 8:30
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Person Man
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« Reply #4 on: January 29, 2008, 04:39:47 PM »

Ah, I must have been confused. I must of say "8", intrepreted it at my time and thought it was really 6 EST, instead of 6 MST.
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Verily
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« Reply #5 on: January 29, 2008, 04:40:10 PM »

They close at 8, results probably start trickling in by 8:30

Makes much more sense. If this follows the usual pattern, we should know the Republican winner for near-certain by 9. Presumably, the Democratic contest will be obvious before then (if, by a fluke, it ends up close, the result will obviously be later).
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #6 on: January 29, 2008, 04:43:09 PM »

According to the Green Papers, in 2006, Florida's polls closed at 7pm local time (meaning 7pm Eastern / 6 pm Central in the Eastern timezone part of the state, and 8pm Eastern / 7 pm Central in the Central timezone part of the state).  I thought the same would be happening this time, but I'll see if I can find definitive info.  In any case, the *last* polls in the state will close at 8pm Eastern / 7 pm Central.
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Joe Biden 2020
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« Reply #7 on: January 29, 2008, 04:44:47 PM »

They close at 8, results probably start trickling in by 8:30

Makes much more sense. If this follows the usual pattern, we should know the Republican winner for near-certain by 9. Presumably, the Democratic contest will be obvious before then (if, by a fluke, it ends up close, the result will obviously be later).

With as close as Florida seems to be between Romney and McCain, I don't expect to know the winner until 9:00 Central.  CNN has predicted it could be a long night.  I don't care about the Democratic race, since its no more than a beauty contest and the DNC has basically spotted the Republican Nominee 27 electoral votes come November.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #8 on: January 29, 2008, 04:45:47 PM »

They close at 8, results probably start trickling in by 8:30

They close at 7 local time.  There are 14 counties that are in Central time, so results won't be released until 8 EST I'm assuming
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Person Man
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« Reply #9 on: January 29, 2008, 04:46:44 PM »

Hmmm... Anyways, do you think the exit polls will predict if it will be close or not?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #10 on: January 29, 2008, 04:49:17 PM »

Yeah, here's info from the Miami Herald that says polls are open until 7:

http://www.miamidade.gov/elections/home.asp

So I'm pretty sure they're open until 7pm local time throughout the state.

The networks won't release their exit polls or call a state until after all the polls in the state have closed, but my memory of the 2006 midterms says that a state itself will sometimes start releasing results from a few precincts before the polls have closed in other parts of the state.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #11 on: January 29, 2008, 05:54:01 PM »

Leaked exit poll results:

http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/post/?q=ODA5YmUxMTEwMDk1Y2ViMGMzOGFjNDRlOWI4NzU5YTg=

McCain 34.3%
Romney 32.6%
Giuliani 15.3%
Huckabee 12%

From the AP writeup:

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exopolitician
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« Reply #12 on: January 29, 2008, 05:56:21 PM »

Leaked exit poll results:

http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/post/?q=ODA5YmUxMTEwMDk1Y2ViMGMzOGFjNDRlOWI4NzU5YTg=

McCain 34.3%
Romney 32.6%
Giuliani 15.3%
Huckabee 12%

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If thats the case about the economy then Romney [technically] should do really well tonight.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #13 on: January 29, 2008, 05:57:41 PM »

One hour until the ET polls close.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #14 on: January 29, 2008, 05:59:40 PM »

FYI, according to pollster.com, "Tonight’s exit polls in Florida will include sample of interviews conducted by telephone among early voters, and those results will be weighted with the interviews conducted at polling places today to the best estimate available of absentee ballots as a percentage of all votes cast."

I don't know if these leaked exit poll results include those absentee / early voting numbers or not.
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Torie
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« Reply #15 on: January 29, 2008, 06:04:10 PM »

The leaked exit poll numbers do not include absentees, and Mitt's folks thought they had to win today's voters by 2%-3% to pull it out, because McCain had the lead with absentees. So if the numbers are right, Mitt is near to being on the ropes.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #16 on: January 29, 2008, 06:04:46 PM »

Did anyone bother leaking the Democratic numbers?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #17 on: January 29, 2008, 06:06:43 PM »

The leaked exit poll numbers do not include absentees, and Mitt's folks thought they had to win today's voters by 2%-3% to pull it out, because McCain had the lead with absentees. So if the numbers are right, Mitt is near to being on the ropes.

Eh... maybe but it's still very close and who knows how accurate the exit polling really is.

Mitt better win though. If he loses tonight, McCain will almost certainly cream him on Super Tuesday.
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exopolitician
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« Reply #18 on: January 29, 2008, 06:07:26 PM »
« Edited: January 29, 2008, 06:09:29 PM by MATCHU[D] »

MSNBC is releasing exit polls....47% think the econmy is the most important...with the war on terror coming in last at 13%.

69% of conservatives voted absentee, 46% were the elderly
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Ebowed
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« Reply #19 on: January 29, 2008, 06:08:12 PM »

Well, at least Giuliani will get some delegates?
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #20 on: January 29, 2008, 06:09:11 PM »

Come on McCain, just win this and hopefully Giuliani will drop out and you can go into Super Tuesday as strong as possible!
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #21 on: January 29, 2008, 06:09:43 PM »

Well, at least Giuliani will get some delegates?

Nope, Florida is WTA.
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J. J.
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« Reply #22 on: January 29, 2008, 06:11:20 PM »

MaCain by a point is still my call.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #23 on: January 29, 2008, 06:12:37 PM »

MSNBC is releasing exit polls....47% think the econmy is the most important...with the war on terror coming in last at 13%.

69% of conservatives voted absentee, 46% were the elderly

Romney should do pretty well if those numbers are accurate.
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Torie
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« Reply #24 on: January 29, 2008, 06:14:56 PM »
« Edited: January 29, 2008, 06:16:37 PM by Torie »

I think what was meant was that of those who voted absentee 69% were conservative, and 46% were elderly, which is only a bit older and more conservative than  the GOP electorate as a whole.
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