TN PrimR: Insider Advantage: McCain Takes the Lead by 8% in TN

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

New Poll: Tennessee President by Insider Advantage on 2008-01-30

Summary:

McCain:	33%
Huckabee:	25%
Romney:	18%
Paul:	9%
Other:	2%
Undecided:	13%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Q.2.      If you are voting in the Republican primary or have voted in early voting, which candidate do you prefer?



 



 

 

 Age

 Gender

 Race

 Party

 

 

 Total

 18-29

 30-44

 45-64

 65+

 Male

 Female

 White

 Black

 Other

 Repub-lican

 Demo-crat

 Indep-endent

 

(Base)

 (375)

 (40)

 (113)

 (124)

 (98)

 (180)

 (195)

 (356)

 (11)

 (

 (314)

 (20)

 (42)

 

 

 

 %

 %

 %

 %

 %

 %

 %

 %

 %

 %

 %

 %

 %

 

 

 

 McCain

 33.0

 29.8

 26.8

 29.4

 46.4

 32.2

 34.0

 32.0

 50.0

 61.6

 35.7

 34.3

 13.3

 

Huckabee

 25.0

 40.4

 17.7

 28.9

 20.2

 17.8

 30.6

 24.1

 50.0

 5.3

 24.2

 10.6

 33.0

 

Romney

 18.0

 14.3

 11.6

 22.1

 20.2

 20.2

 15.1

 18.5

 .0

 .0

 17.3

 17.1

 20.3

 

Paul

 9.0

 15.5

 16.4

 5.2

 1.3

 14.6

 3.1

 9.1

 .0

 .0

 6.2

 27.7

 18.2

 

Other

 2.0

 .0

 2.4

 4.6

 2.1

 4.7

 1.0

 2.8

 .0

 6.6

 3.1

 .0

 1.5

 

Undecided

 13.0

 .0

 25.1

 9.9

 9.9

 10.5

 16.1

 13.5

 .0

 26.5

 13.6

 10.4

 13.7

[MasterJedi]

If true great news for McCain. If he can get wins like these in southern states maybe he does have a slight chance to lock up the nomination with delegates on super tuesday.

[Eraserhead]

If true great news for McCain. If he can get wins like these in southern states maybe he does have a slight chance to lock up the nomination with delegates on super tuesday.

Nope. That isn't possible although the media will crown him the de facto nominee I'm sure.

[big bad fab]

TN is proportional.

Anyway, McCain will gain NY, NJ, AZ and Connecticut with all delegates.
And CA, TN, Colorado will be splitted, so even a Romney win in CA wouldn't let him reverse the race. He'd just go on until he's trounced in Virginia, NC, TX and Pennsylvania (maybe he can win Ohio after SuperTuesday).