California SUSA polls to deflate those expectations
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Author Topic: California SUSA polls to deflate those expectations  (Read 2213 times)
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« on: February 05, 2008, 02:16:02 AM »
These include calls from today.

Democratic
Clinton 52
Obama 42

Republican
McCain 39
Romney 38
Huckabee 11
Paul 5

http://www.surveyusa.com/electionpolls.aspx
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Gabu
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« Reply #1 on: February 05, 2008, 02:20:02 AM »
Well, somebody here is wrong, and I guess we'll find out who it is today.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: February 05, 2008, 02:20:37 AM »
« Edited: February 05, 2008, 02:22:08 AM by Eraserhead »
I wouldn't exactly be shocked to see that Zogby and SUSA are both way off.

Rasmussen, Field and Suffolk all have it basically tied.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #3 on: February 05, 2008, 02:20:43 AM »
+2 for Obama. Big mo!

Tomorrow either SUSA or Zogby will be relegated to the trash heap that ARG finds itself so comfortable in.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #4 on: February 05, 2008, 02:21:24 AM »
Quote from: Obama 08 on February 05, 2008, 02:20:43 AM
+2 for Obama. Big mo!

Tomorrow either SUSA or Zogby will be relegated to the trash heap that ARG finds itself so comfortable in.

What if Obama wins by 1.5 points? They'll both be 11.5 points off.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #5 on: February 05, 2008, 02:22:18 AM »
There's enough room next to ARG for both of them, don't worry.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: February 05, 2008, 02:22:54 AM »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on February 05, 2008, 02:21:24 AM
Quote from: Obama 08 on February 05, 2008, 02:20:43 AM
+2 for Obama. Big mo!

Tomorrow either SUSA or Zogby will be relegated to the trash heap that ARG finds itself so comfortable in.

What if Obama wins by 1.5 points? They'll both be 11.5 points off.

^^^^

Exactly. That is very possible.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #7 on: February 05, 2008, 02:31:13 AM »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on February 05, 2008, 02:16:02 AM
These include calls from today.

Democratic
Clinton 52
Obama 42

Republican
McCain 39
Romney 38
Huckabee 11
Paul 5

http://www.surveyusa.com/electionpolls.aspx


It looks like McCain crushes Romney in the SF Bay Area, while the rest of the state is far closer.  As such, it wouldn't be unheard of for McCain to win the state as a whole and then have Romney get 2/3 of the delegates.
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Sbane
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« Reply #8 on: February 05, 2008, 03:26:18 AM »
Quote from: Mr. Moderate on February 05, 2008, 02:31:13 AM
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on February 05, 2008, 02:16:02 AM
These include calls from today.

Democratic
Clinton 52
Obama 42

Republican
McCain 39
Romney 38
Huckabee 11
Paul 5

http://www.surveyusa.com/electionpolls.aspx


It looks like McCain crushes Romney in the SF Bay Area, while the rest of the state is far closer.  As such, it wouldn't be unheard of for McCain to win the state as a whole and then have Romney get 2/3 of the delegates.

It is more likely to be the other way around with romney winning the popular vote and losing the delegates.
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Middle-aged Europe
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« Reply #9 on: February 05, 2008, 05:45:54 AM »
Oh, the uncertainty!! Wink
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Aizen
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« Reply #10 on: February 05, 2008, 10:14:03 AM »
this is intense

i am literally having an orgasm from the excitement

okay not really

but this could very well be

very well be the end

the end of SUSA's credibility

into the realm of ARG SUSA could go

or they could be right

and we shall all weep

tears
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #11 on: February 06, 2008, 04:56:32 PM »
Bump for SUSA's realism.
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Alcon
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« Reply #12 on: February 06, 2008, 05:00:54 PM »

Semi-realism, at least Tongue
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