official Super Tuesday commentary thread (Republican)

[ag]

Romney now has only one chance, California.  I'll bet tonight, it goes to McCain.

Then Huckabee could start telling Romney he should drop out.

In fact, had Romney dropped out before tonight, Huckabee would have had a chance

[ag]

Actually, what the... is happening in Mass.?

[ag]

Actually, what the... is happening in Mass.?

closer than expected at 10% but not warranting a wtf.

It's not 10%. We are in the Republican thread here. And look at the map, what's left to report (at least, countywise).

Edit: w/ just 1% reporting extra it did, in fact, become 1%. Smthg is strange.

Edit 2: seems like a huge chunk of Boston vote came for Romney??

[ag]

Actually, what the... is happening in Mass.?

closer than expected at 10% but not warranting a wtf.

It's not 10%. We are in the Republican thread here. And look at the map, what's left to report (at least, countywise).

CNN says Romney 51%, McCain 41%.  where are you getting your numbers from?

A moment ago it was the other way around. Suddenly, a lot of Romney vote came from Boston, of all places - McCain had been leading there.

[ag]

Actually, what the... is happening in Mass.?

closer than expected at 10% but not warranting a wtf.

It's not 10%. We are in the Republican thread here. And look at the map, what's left to report (at least, countywise).

CNN says Romney 51%, McCain 41%.  where are you getting your numbers from?

CNN, but it must have been a glitch.

If it was a glitch, it was in Mass, not with CNN. I'd been staring at it for 15 minutes before posting (thinking it was the glitch) - but then it showed up on NYT as well.

[ag]

Is it possible that we could see this switch to a McCain vs. Huckabee contest after tonight?

Yes. 

Please God.

This would be the only chance for the anti-McCain crowd (especially if he directs his delegates to Huckabee). But it might be too late.

[ag]

Umm... Mitt Romney would currently get 0 delegates in California

Has someone checked on the Congressional level? CNN saying that McCain won Los Angeles county doesn't count as checking its 15 or so districts.

Yes. there was the link in that post to results by CD. At the moment I checked (20 min ago), McCain was leading in all but two districts - in those two there wasn't any reporting.

[ag]

Romney is now leading in the 21st District - barely. He also isn't terribly far behind in maybe 5-8 others.

So, current California Delegate Count:

McCain: 167
Romney: 3

Victory?

Actually, Romney is also ahead by a semi-decent margin in CD 52. In two more CD's McCain is ahead by a whisker w/ over 10% left to report. Zillions of CD's where the margins are smallish, but don't look smallish enough to be overturned.  On current numbers it's 164:6, but it could go all the way to 158:12. No matter how you slice it, California is in McCain's bag.