who do you THINK will win the Republican nomination?

[© tweed]

May 2006

George Allen 40.6%
John McCain 31.9%
Mitt Romney 8.7%
Rudy Giuliani 8.7%
Other 8.7%

August 2006

John McCain 39.5%
George Allen 21.1%
Mitt Romney 13.2%
Rudy Giuliani 13.2%
Other (excl. Rice) 13.2%

November 2006

John McCain 46.2%
Mitt Romney 23.1%
Rudy Giuliani 15.4%
Mike Huckabee 7.7%
Newt Gingrich 7.7%


March 2007

Rudy Giuliani 45.7%
John McCain 28.6%
Mike Huckabee 11.4%
Mitt Romney 5.7%
Sam Brownback 2.9%
Other (excl. Gingrich) 5.7%

April 2007

Fred Thompson 46.9%
Rudy Giuliani 26.5%
Mitt Romney 12.2%
John McCain 10.2%
Other (excl. Gingrich, Hagel) 4.1%

June 2007

Fred Thompson 34.2%
Rudy Giuliani 31.6%
Mitt Romney 21.1%
John McCain 5.3%
Mike Huckabee 5.3%
Ron Paul 2.6%

July 2007

Mitt Romney 40.9%
Rudy Giuliani 34.1%
Fred Thompson 22.7%
John McCain 2.3%

August 2007

Mitt Romney 42.6%
Rudy Giuliani 31.1%
Mike Huckabee 16.4%
Fred Thompson 4.9%
Ron Paul 4.9%

September 2007

Mitt Romney 52.4%
Rudy Giuliani 31%
Ron Paul 9.5%
Fred Thompson 4.8%
John McCain 2.4%

October 2007

Mitt Romney 44.9%
Rudy Giuliani 30.6%
Mike Huckabee 10.2%
Ron Paul 6.1%
Condoleeza Rice 4.1%
John McCain 2%
Fred Thompson 2%

November 2007

Mitt Romney 39.6%
Rudy Giuliani 27.1%
Mike Huckabee 25%
Ron Paul 4.2%
John McCain 2.1%
Condoleeza Rice 2.1%

December 21-23, 2007

Mitt Romney 36.2%
Mike Huckabee 36.2%
John McCain 17%
Rudy Giuliani 8.5%
Fred Thompson 2.1%

December 31, 2007 - January 2, 2008

Mitt Romney 55.3%
John McCain 26.3%
Mike Huckabee 7.9%
Rudy Giuliani 5.3%
Ron Paul 5.3%

January 5-7, 2008

John McCain 53.2%
Mike Huckabee 29.8%
Mitt Romney 6.4%
Rudy Giuliani 6.4%
Ron Paul 2.1%
other 2.1%

January 10-13, 2008

John McCain 60.4%
Mike Huckabee 27.1%
Rudy Giuliani 6.3%
Mitt Romney 4.2%
Fred Thompson 2.1%

January 21-23, 2008

John McCain 78.8%
Mitt Romney 19.2%
Rudy Giuliani 1.9%

January 31-February 2, 2008

John McCain 90%
Ron Paul 7.5%
Mitt Romney 2.5%

[Middle-aged Europe]

Probably the first time that this poll has become pointless. What about a "who do you THINK will win the election?" poll with McCain, Clinton, and Obama as options?

[perdedor]

I would say that McCain is the obvious favorite to win. Huckabee has finished Romney.

[Lief 🗽]

Romney needed to win California and Huckabee needed to win Oklahoma and Missouri for anything to change.

[Eraserhead]

Romney needed to win California and Huckabee needed to win Oklahoma and Missouri for anything to change.

Agreed and even then they would still be major underdogs. It's over.