The Delegate Fight: Obama Clinches!

[8 out of 11 is not deserved]

Good work, Erc

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/democratic_delegate_count.html

Clinton 865 pledged / 211 super (1076)

Obama 878 pledged / 137 super (1015)

(Delegate Counts Come From AP, Wash Post, CBS News & RCP)

Most delegates in Colorado yet to be allocated, which will favor Obama

Dave

Great point on Colorado, didn't notice that.  He should pick up a net of maybe 10.  That would give him a lead of 20-25 pledge delegates going into tonight's primaries.
Very nice indeed

[8 out of 11 is not deserved]

RCP base as of Sunday at noon

Clinton  1121  Super Delegates 211  Pledge Delegates  910
Obama 1118  Super Delegates 137  Pledge Delegates   981

Clinton +3 overall due to +74 lead in Super delegates

Obama +71 in Pledge delegates

He is starting to really surge

[8 out of 11 is not deserved]

Making up the +74 super delegate lead in an election this close before the Potomac primaries is very big. 

If he has a big night with the Potomac primaries, it will be difficult for her to overtake him in pledge delegates even if she wins OH and TX

[8 out of 11 is not deserved]

This appeared in NY Post on 2/16.  It would effect some district counts and maybe some delegates.  Limited details.  Might want to look at official NYC results when published.  Might change a few delegates 

"OBAMA ROBBED IN NY
By GINGER ADAMS OTIS
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February 16, 2008 -- Barack Obama's primary-night results were strikingly under recorded in several congressional districts around the city - in some cases leaving him with zero votes when, in fact, he had pulled in hundreds, the Board of Elections said today

Unofficial primary results gave Obama no votes in nearly 80 districts, including Harlem's 94th and other historically black areas - but many of those initial tallies proved to be wildly off the mark, the Board of Elections confirmed.

Truth is, in some districts getting a recount, the senator from Illinois is even close to defeating Hillary Clinton.

Initial results in the 94th District, for example, showed a 141-0 sweep for the New York senator, but Board of Elections spokeswoman Valerie Vazquez said today that the ongoing recount had changed the tally to 261-136.

As yet, none of the results has been certified, Vazquez said, adding that the Board of Elections had begun a painstaking ballot-by-ballot canvassing of all voting machines four days after the Feb. 5 election.

"We are doing a recanvass, and we will be counting all paper ballots, including absentee ones," Vazquez said.

"Some initial tallies had zeros, but it was most likely due to human error. Those were unofficial numbers, and no confirmed results have been released yet."

In a predominantly black Brooklyn district for which Clinton was given credit for a 118-0 victory on Primary Night, the Board of Elections' latest figures indicate that she may not even come out the winner - Obama currently has 116 votes to her 118. "