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  Our prediction map. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Our prediction map.  (Read 12103 times)
Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74
« on: February 17, 2008, 01:45:12 PM »
« edited: April 24, 2008, 09:24:13 AM by Josh22 »
I have a few questions. Why is NC strong republican? NC should be lean, or that is what the polls are saying right now. Also AZ why is it lean republican? It should be strong republican. Also IA should be lean to strong democratic.

This is what it should look like.
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74
« Reply #1 on: February 17, 2008, 01:57:37 PM »

In a Obama vs McCain races it is, But I should have put it as lean Republican.
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74
« Reply #2 on: February 17, 2008, 07:15:50 PM »
Quote from: sbane on February 17, 2008, 06:25:29 PM
Quote from: Josh22 on February 17, 2008, 01:45:12 PM
I have a few questions. Why is NC strong republican? NC should be lean, or that is what the polls are saying right now. Also AZ why is it lean republican? It should be strong republican. Also IA should be lean to strong democratic.

This is what it should look like.



I really think in a Mccain vs Obama race, NC will be strong rep(>10% margin). If you think otherwise let me know why. As for AZ it has a huge latino population and thus can never be strong republican. The latinos are pretty conservative though so the republican party is in a good position there.

NC has alot of college towns with big populations for one. 22% of the state is black. The triangle will go to Obama 60% or better. But who knows, Nov is a long time away.
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74
« Reply #3 on: February 17, 2008, 10:09:26 PM »
Quote from: AloneinOregon on February 17, 2008, 07:17:08 PM
Is bright red supposed to be the less Democratic states? I thought that New Jersey would be at least as solidly Democratic as New York.

McCain will do well in southern NJ.
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74
« Reply #4 on: February 20, 2008, 04:58:14 PM »
UPDATED-ONE..
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74
« Reply #5 on: February 20, 2008, 07:48:24 PM »

I'm not a Hack, I am just going by what the polls say.
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74
« Reply #6 on: February 21, 2008, 10:28:36 AM »

They play a part in it, yes. Also that is an Obama vs McCain map. I'll do a Clinton vs McCain map later today.
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74
« Reply #7 on: February 22, 2008, 01:26:24 PM »
Quote from: AHDuke99 on February 22, 2008, 01:23:11 PM
The best Obama can do is probably 45% in NC. Kerry got 43% in 2004. I could see a 55-45 race, but nothing better. The Dems are being too optimistic about NC and VA. If he wins either of them, he wouldn't have had to win them.

Obama will get any where from 45-52%. I believe NC will shock alot of people this year and swing strongly toward the Democrats this election year.
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