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Author Topic: Our prediction map.  (Read 12096 times)
Gustaf
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Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70
« on: February 18, 2008, 03:39:34 PM »
Why would Obama do so well among white voters in North Carolina? There is a large black vote but in 2004 there were just as many voters who identified themselves as white conservative protestants. Bush got 95% of that vote and I think it's reasonable to expect McCain to beat Obama as badly as Obama beats him within that vote. That leaves the middle ground of your average North Carolina whites. I wouldn't count on Obama winning those.
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70
« Reply #1 on: March 06, 2008, 07:50:16 AM »

When did the polls tell you Arkansas and Florida are tossups and Pennsylvania and Wisconsin leans?
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70
« Reply #2 on: March 06, 2008, 07:51:28 AM »
For reference, here is the poll map:
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