ABC/WaPo: Clinton +1 in TX, +7 in OH

[agcatter]

I think some of you are missing the point.  Winning Texas, Ohio, and Pennsylvania narrowly doesn't help Hillary in the slightest. 

Obama leads Hillary by 160 committed delegates.

Narrow wins in the three big states nets her 35 delegates and that's being generous especially with the Texas delegate apportionment system.

Obama will come close to recapturing that many with wins where he's favored in Oregon, NC, Mississippi, Vermont, SD, Montana

Wins by Hillary in Kentucky, W. Virginia, RI, and even Indiana maybe nets  her another 35

Anyway you slice it, Obama goes into the convention with over a 100 pledged delegate lead.

No way in hell the super delegates overturn that lead.  They won't do that.  Narrow wins in the big three states won't even allow her to overtake him in the total popular vote.  He's up approx one million votes right now.

Obama wins.  It's over.

[agcatter]

Like I said, narrow wins in the big three states won't be enough for Hillary to take the lead in the overall popular vote.  She would need big wins in those states to do that.  She just doesn't have any leverage to get the super delegates to break to her.