TX-Mason-Dixon: Obama+1

[Tender Branson]

Obama: 46%
Clinton: 45%

625 likely Democratic primary voters, conducted Feb. 27-29. The margin of error was plus or minus 4 percentage points.

http://www.kentucky.com/216/story/334715.html

[Alcon]

First M-D poll, for the record.  Close'n.

[jesmo]

I am literally having nightmares about what Obama's following may do if Hillary happens to upset in Texas and Ohio, OR if Obama loses to John McCain this  November.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

I am literally having nightmares about what Obama's following may do if Hillary happens to upset in Texas and Ohio, OR if Obama loses to John McCain this  November.

Riots? Burning cars? Mass movie creations on how the election was stolen? Conspiracy theorists abound? It will be a scary place.

[Eraserhead]

I am literally having nightmares about what Obama's following may do if Hillary happens to upset in Texas and Ohio, OR if Obama loses to John McCain this  November.

Obama would still win the nomination so it wouldn't be that big a deal.

[agcatter]

Yep, Obama still have  a 100 more delegates and will add to that lead with Mississippi, NC and Oregon to come.  He won't have enough to clinch the nomination  before the end of the primaries but so what.  He'll have the lead and the super delegates will follow.

Hillary won't get out however until May or June.  She has a lot of delegates and she's waiting to see where Obama is in the polls vs McCain then.  If his negatives continue to rise and he starts to lag significantly or something else comes out about Obama she doesn't want to burn her bridges.  heck, it's what she's lived her life for.  Admitedly, it's a long shot that something happens but she plods on.

[WalterMitty]

good news.

a reliable pollster has it a statistical tie.

looks like obamamania has slowed in texas.

[Stranger in a strange land]

Yep, Obama still have  a 100 more delegates and will add to that lead with Mississippi, NC and Oregon to come.  He won't have enough to clinch the nomination  before the end of the primaries but so what.  He'll have the lead and the super delegates will follow.

Hillary won't get out however until May or June.  She has a lot of delegates and she's waiting to see where Obama is in the polls vs McCain then.  If his negatives continue to rise and he starts to lag significantly or something else comes out about Obama she doesn't want to burn her bridges.  heck, it's what she's lived her life for.  Admitedly, it's a long shot that something happens but she plods on.

If Hillary loses both TX and OH Tuesday she'll have no choice but to drop out. If she loses TX but wins OH, Bill and some in the campaign will say it's time for her to drop out, but her ego won't let her. She might keep going all the way to the convention, but she'll be elminated by superdelegates and crushing primary defeats long before then.

[Eraserhead]

good news.

a reliable pollster has it a statistical tie.

looks like obamamania has slowed in texas.

MD has consistently underestimated Obama's support this cycle.

[they don't love you like i love you]

All pollsters have actually. The only states Obama has overpolled in are New Hampshire (where a completely different dynamic was at work) and California (where frankly I think most of the polls were just wrong.)

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

All pollsters have actually. The only states Obama has overpolled in are New Hampshire (where a completely different dynamic was at work) and California (where frankly I think most of the polls were just wrong.)

And Massachusetts. And New Mexico. And Arizona. And New Jersey. Honestly, it's safe to say that any poll is wrong that shows Obama losing.