Official March 4th Results Discussion Topic

[© tweed]

exit suggest Hillary by a nugget in Ohio

[Alcon]

Ohio exit poll:

Clinton 51.1%
Obama 47.9%

[Sam Spade]

Exit poll has it at Clinton a shade above 51.  Obama a shade below 48 - for Ohio.

[Keystone Phil]

McCain to unveil "1191" delegate tally banner at victory rally.

[auburntiger]

FOX calls Ohio for McCain! that puts him at 1106...When Texas comes around, that's all folks

[Joe Biden 2020]

CNN has called Ohio for McCain giving him an immediate 31 delegates.

[Thomas Jackson]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Good. Not nearly enough for the witch!!!!

[Sam Spade]

Sam Spade (or someone else).... So what counties to watch for in Ohio and Texas that may give an indication?

Eastern Texas is all I know, thats the swing part of the state.

The Panhandle should also be swingy because Hispanic voters there are Spanish and not Mexican.

No.  Even though Lubbock will be slightly interesting.

Why wouldn't it be?

Go look at the numbers in Western Oklahoma and transpose them to the Panhandle.  Probably will be less of an Edwards protest vote also. (not the 20-30% in some places)

[War on Want]

Obama is winning in Cuyahoga County. I wasn't expecting that....

[Verily]

Interesting regional breakdown in Ohio. Obama leads everywhere except the Northeast, where Clinton cleans up.

[they don't love you like i love you]

Obama is winning in Cuyahoga County. I wasn't expecting that....

Uh, why not? It's Cleveland.

[Speed of Sound]

Obama is winning in Cuyahoga County. I wasn't expecting that....

How much is in though?

[War on Want]

Sam Spade (or someone else).... So what counties to watch for in Ohio and Texas that may give an indication?

Eastern Texas is all I know, thats the swing part of the state.

The Panhandle should also be swingy because Hispanic voters there are Spanish and not Mexican.

No.  Even though Lubbock will be slightly interesting.

Why wouldn't it be?

Go look at the numbers in Western Oklahoma and transpose them to the Panhandle.  Probably will be less of an Edwards protest vote also. (not the 20-30% in some places)

Oh I see...
I thought the vote might resemble more Western rural voters, rather than OK.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

In Ohio the main areas to look out for should, stress "should", be the more urban of the various traditional industrial areas (this is not the same thing as areas with the highest percentage of manufacturing jobs. Just thought I'd point that out). Not so much for who wins, but by how much. The rural areas don't matter, Columbus doesn't matter (much), the Southeast of the state (especially) doesn't matter. What matters is the margins (in raw votes as much as percentages) in the sort of areas mentioned above.

[Хahar 🤔]

This isn't the sort of decisive Ohio victory Clinton would like/needs.

[Alcon]

GOP exit poll (for those who care):

McCain 58.4%
Huckabee 32.8%
Paul 6.2%

[War on Want]

Obama is winning in Cuyahoga County. I wasn't expecting that....

Uh, why not? It's Cleveland.

Manufacturing. I thought it would be much closer if he won anyways.

[Lief 🗽]

Interesting regional breakdown in Ohio. Obama leads everywhere except the Northeast, where Clinton cleans up.

Er... isn't the Northeast Cleveland?

EDIT: Nevermind, Cuyahoga County is a separate region in the exit poll.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

It seems unlikely that Clinton will win the pledged delegates from today. Rhode Island may only just cancel out Obama's net 3 or so in Vermont. Ohio will likely net her a few, but Texas will more than cancel that out.

[War on Want]

Interesting regional breakdown in Ohio. Obama leads everywhere except the Northeast, where Clinton cleans up.

Er... isn't the Northeast Cleveland?

No Toledo, Sandusky etc.
Cleveland is seperate.

[they don't love you like i love you]

Obama is winning in Cuyahoga County. I wasn't expecting that....

Uh, why not? It's Cleveland.

Manufacturing. I thought it would be much closer if he won anyways.

Yeah except the manufacturing workers in Cleveland are mostly black.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Interesting regional breakdown in Ohio. Obama leads everywhere except the Northeast, where Clinton cleans up.

Er... isn't the Northeast Cleveland?

No Toledo, Sandusky etc.
Cleveland is seperate.

what

[Verily]

Obama is winning in Cuyahoga County. I wasn't expecting that....

How much is in though?

Here's the regional exit poll:

Cuyahoga: 59O-41C
Northeast: 61C-39O
Central: 51O-48C
Northwest: 55O-44C
Southwest: 51O-49C

[they don't love you like i love you]

Interesting regional breakdown in Ohio. Obama leads everywhere except the Northeast, where Clinton cleans up.

Er... isn't the Northeast Cleveland?

No Toledo, Sandusky etc.
Cleveland is seperate.

That's NORTHWEST Ohio.

[War on Want]

Interesting regional breakdown in Ohio. Obama leads everywhere except the Northeast, where Clinton cleans up.

Er... isn't the Northeast Cleveland?

No Toledo, Sandusky etc.
Cleveland is seperate.

That's NORTHWEST Ohio.

Oooops. Brainfart.