My extrapolation from the repored Senate districts results in:
Obama 53,605 (55%)
Clinton 44,089 (45%)
Uncommitted 103
Other 9
How did you extrapolate?
Each election precinct was entitled to 1 county delegate for each 15 votes for the Democratic gubernatorial candidate in 2006 (Chris Bell). So that the sum of the delegates in the left column is the total number of county delegates (88,074).
To get the projected number of county delegates for each candidate for each senate district, you should take the current known delegate totals in the district, and project those over the total number of county delegates for each senate district.
The percentage of precincts reporting is meaningless, expect perhaps as an indication of distributional bias - if you have relative more small precincts reporting, then the percentage of small precincts reporting will be higher than the percentage of delegates selected.
For example, SD 1 has 2665 county delegates. Currently there are 474 Obamaniacs and 324 Clintonians, and 1 uncommitted (799 total). So the projected number of Obamaniacs for SD 1 is (2665*474/799) or 1580, and 1080 Clintonians.
Based on that method, I get a 59-41% statewide split, assuming that the distribution of county delegates within each SD does not change.
At the county conventions, state delegates will be chosen - but they will be chosen by election precinct or groups of election precincts, with one state delegate for each 180 Bell votes
fractions truncated. The allocation of state delegates will be based on the sign-in vote at the precinct conventions. So the state delegates should be roughly proportional to the county delegates - subject to some pretty severe truncation errors. If I understand the allocation of delegates for precincts, then in Harris County, 1 precinct will have 6 state delegates, 1 will hav 5, 5 will have 4, 34 will have 3, 125 will have 2, 202 will have 1, and the remaining precincts will share 391 delegates.
Delegates to the national convention will be based on shares of delegates at the state convention.
