mddem2004
Jr. Member
Posts: 561
Political Matrix
E: -6.38, S: -4.00
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« on: September 13, 2004, 11:46:07 AM » |
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I found this niffty little graph that may shed some light on the pertetual "Good Poll/Bad Poll" .......""their Biased/no, their biased" arguments I see on this site. And after seeing this....well.....a picture is worth a thousand words.
The graph is of National Polls performed by the listed firms. The graph also shows the median of the range of polls performed during a particular week. Polls in the + range are Bush leading, - polls show a Kerry lead.
I am struck by a number of things with this graph. 1) The two firms that are consistantly the closest to the median of all polls.......Rasussen and Zogby. Rasmussen consistantly shows a very slight Bush bias, Zogby consistantly shows a very slight Kerry bias. And frankly, for all the talk of how good Gallup is....they are consistantly ALL OVER the field.
As far as I'm concerned, based on this graph, I personally think it is hard to argue against their consistancy and I will judge the status of this race to be somewhere between the latest Rasmussen National polls and the Zogby National polls.
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