Xahar's 2008 House Predictions
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Author Topic: Xahar's 2008 House Predictions  (Read 2535 times)
Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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« on: March 07, 2008, 02:56:07 PM »
Here, I will prognosticate the composition of the House of Representatives for its 111th session. Each district will be labeled Safe Dem, Lean Dem, Safe GOP, Lean GOP, or Tossup. By November, each Tossup will have been changed to Tossup or Tossup.

Note: I know very little about Congress, so don't get your hopes up too high if I predict victory for your preferred candidate.
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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« Reply #1 on: March 07, 2008, 02:57:02 PM »
« Edited: March 07, 2008, 05:11:43 PM by Vice-Chairman Xahar »
Alabama
AL-1: Ridiculously gerrymandered district. Safe GOP.
AL-2: Another Bible Belt district, but getting the mayor of Montgomery makes it close. Lean GOP.
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

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« Reply #2 on: March 07, 2008, 02:59:21 PM »
« Edited: March 07, 2008, 03:03:34 PM by Vice-Chairman Xahar »
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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E: -6.77, S: 0.61

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« Reply #3 on: March 07, 2008, 02:59:51 PM »
« Edited: March 07, 2008, 03:05:24 PM by Vice-Chairman Xahar »
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #4 on: March 07, 2008, 03:00:17 PM »
Placetaker.
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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Posts: 41,731
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Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

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« Reply #5 on: March 07, 2008, 03:00:48 PM »
« Edited: March 07, 2008, 03:06:40 PM by Vice-Chairman Xahar »
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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E: -6.77, S: 0.61

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« Reply #6 on: March 07, 2008, 03:01:19 PM »
« Edited: March 07, 2008, 03:07:02 PM by Vice-Chairman Xahar »
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Meeker
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« Reply #7 on: March 07, 2008, 03:18:20 PM »
If you self-admittedly know very little about Congress, then why are you doing this?
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

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« Reply #8 on: March 07, 2008, 03:20:01 PM »
Quote from: Senator-elect meekermariner on March 07, 2008, 03:18:20 PM
If you self-admittedly know very little about Congress, then why are you doing this?

Because I can.

That, and I'm bored, having just finished my Arabic-based alphabet for Ubykh.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« Reply #9 on: March 07, 2008, 04:08:04 PM »
Quote from: Vice-Chairman Xahar on March 07, 2008, 03:20:01 PM
Quote from: Senator-elect meekermariner on March 07, 2008, 03:18:20 PM
If you self-admittedly know very little about Congress, then why are you doing this?

Because I can.

That, and I'm bored, having just finished my Arabic-based alphabet for Ubykh.

You went to the effort to create an Arabic-based alphabet for a semi-dead language in which its living relatives all use Cyrillic?  Granted the Ubykhs now live mostly in Turkey, but that would argue for a Latin alphabet more than an Arabic.  Still, do you have it someplace on the web, as I have an amateur interest in such things.
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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Posts: 41,731
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Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

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« Reply #10 on: March 07, 2008, 04:50:38 PM »
Quote from: Lamont Zemyna Vaižgantas on March 07, 2008, 04:08:04 PM
Quote from: Vice-Chairman Xahar on March 07, 2008, 03:20:01 PM
Quote from: Senator-elect meekermariner on March 07, 2008, 03:18:20 PM
If you self-admittedly know very little about Congress, then why are you doing this?

Because I can.

That, and I'm bored, having just finished my Arabic-based alphabet for Ubykh.

You went to the effort to create an Arabic-based alphabet for a semi-dead language in which its living relatives all use Cyrillic?  Granted the Ubykhs now live mostly in Turkey, but that would argue for a Latin alphabet more than an Arabic.  Still, do you have it someplace on the web, as I have an amateur interest in such things.


Yes, I did. Tongue

I don't have it on the web yet, though it's saved on my computer.
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #11 on: March 07, 2008, 05:06:32 PM »
Quote from: Vice-Chairman Xahar on March 07, 2008, 02:57:02 PM
Alabama
AL-1: Ridiculously gerrymandered district. Safe GOP.
AL-2: Another Bible Belt district. Safe GOP.

Regarding AL-2 you clearly haven't heard about this -
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=71411.0

Although the District must be considered 'Leans GOP' it remains a long-shot for the Democrats if black turnout is particularly high or if Bright proves to be an excellent candidate who happens to run against a weaker Republican.  If...of course, but still.
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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Posts: 41,731
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

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« Reply #12 on: March 07, 2008, 05:11:02 PM »
Quote from: Adlai Stevenson on March 07, 2008, 05:06:32 PM
Quote from: Vice-Chairman Xahar on March 07, 2008, 02:57:02 PM
Alabama
AL-1: Ridiculously gerrymandered district. Safe GOP.
AL-2: Another Bible Belt district. Safe GOP.

Regarding AL-2 you clearly haven't heard about this -
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=71411.0

Although the District must be considered 'Leans GOP' it remains a long-shot for the Democrats if black turnout is particularly high or if Bright proves to be an excellent candidate who happens to run against a weaker Republican.  If...of course, but still.

Ooh, missed that.
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MarkWarner08
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« Reply #13 on: March 07, 2008, 09:49:50 PM »
Congrats on setting up this thread. I  also caught the House prognosticating bug when I was 13.
Following House races is more challenging that doing the same for Senate races, so it takes a hardier kind of Cassandra wannabe to try to predict these races. Best of luck, my friend!

One suggestion: You may want to create a GOP Favored category as a bridge between Safe GOP and Leans GOP.
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