3 state elections in Germany in September (user search)
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  3 state elections in Germany in September (search mode)
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Author Topic: 3 state elections in Germany in September  (Read 14571 times)
CO-OWL
OWL
Jr. Member
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Posts: 266
Germany


Political Matrix
E: 0.00, S: 0.10

« on: August 26, 2004, 11:18:55 AM »

A recent poll contained the question:
"Which party does understand the desires and problems of the people?"

Among East Germans the result was:

PDS 30%
CDU 13%
SPD   8%
Greens 8%
FDP   4%
no party 34%

This feeling is one reason for the enduring success of the PDS in East Germany.


BTW, a new Brandenburg poll has it:

PDS 36% Sad
SPD 27%
CDU 22%
Greens 4%
FDP 3%
DVU 4% Sad
other 4%
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CO-OWL
OWL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 266
Germany


Political Matrix
E: 0.00, S: 0.10

« Reply #1 on: September 05, 2004, 01:11:48 PM »
« Edited: September 05, 2004, 01:15:54 PM by OWL »

Partial results are actually already in for 3/4 of the state (I wonder how come? Don't they count ballots by hand on the Saar anymore?) and look slightly different in relevant details:
CDU 48,9
SPD 30,8
FDP 5.0
Greens 4.9
NPD 3.7
Plus they include the others...
Familienpartei (small, kinda centrist protest party - never won anything) 3.2
PDS 2.1
I think, Saarbrücken is still missing. It should improve the Green and FDP numbers. On the other hand the CDU will go down a bit.

Oops, Lewis was faster Smiley
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CO-OWL
OWL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 266
Germany


Political Matrix
E: 0.00, S: 0.10

« Reply #2 on: September 06, 2004, 06:43:33 AM »

With the NPD at 4% in Saarland I'm afraid it's very likely that they will get >5% in Saxony and the DVU will (again)
get >5% in Brandenburg.
Let's hope the PDS gets most of the protest votes.


At least in Saxony the SPD cannot lose 13%...
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CO-OWL
OWL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 266
Germany


Political Matrix
E: 0.00, S: 0.10

« Reply #3 on: September 20, 2004, 07:30:13 AM »

Preliminary election results:

Saxony
CDU 41.1% / 55 seats
PDS 23.6% / 31 seats
SPD 9.8% / 13 seats
NPD 9.2% / 12 seats
FDP 5.9% / 7 seats
Greens 5.1% / 6 seats

At the moment, it is expected that the SPD will join a coalition with the CDU, because CDU + FDP would need exactly one additional seat to have a majority.

Interesting:
The CDU won 55 out of 60 districts. If they had only won 54  districts, CDU + FDP would have reached a majority! (54 + 7 = 61 out of 121 seats)
In this case the CDU would lose 1 extra ("Uberhang-") seat, and the PDS as well as the SPD 1 compensation ("Ausgleichs-")seat, thus reducing the total number of seats from 124 to 121.
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CO-OWL
OWL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 266
Germany


Political Matrix
E: 0.00, S: 0.10

« Reply #4 on: September 20, 2004, 01:39:46 PM »

If I were German I'd be inclined to the Social Democratic Party, but as Schroeder seems to be doing a bad job - I guess I could support the Christian Democrats - probably the only conservative party I know of, which my conscience would allow me to support.

Dave

I guess, the Christian social wing of the CDU could be the right thing for you.
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