Wisconsin Primary (Event)

[Gustaf]

Here’s my stab at the WI results with the Zogby numbers in brackets…

Kerry: 46 (47)

Edwards: 28 (20)

Dean: 23 (23)

Kucinich: 2 (2)

Sharpton: 1 (1)

I’m still hoping for a better second for Edwards and with the newspaper endorsement and the good performance last night perhaps we will be surprised… this contest needs to go on until “Super Tuesday”… I think Dean’s going to be either dropping out or “suspending” his campaign after WI… this should help Edwards…but Edwards can only continue if he fishes at least as an undisputed second… with Dean out and a relatively good performance Edwards should receive media coverage as the “anti Kerry” candidate and this could help him on Supper Tuesday…it’s a long shot… but a shot none the less…      

A really, really long shot, imo. Edwards lost in TN and VA, that put his chances of winning the nomination very close to ZERO. He would need something extraordinary to save him now.

[Gustaf]

Your right Gustaf... but hell! I need something to hold onto for the time being... see in my little universe the nomination isn’t settled yet and Edwards is still a real player for the nomination…

Sorry snapping back into reality now… ultimately Edwards should have beaten Clark in Oklahoma… had he done that Clark would have been out and I would say that Edwards would have come a good second in Michigan and done better in Maine and then probably won Tennessee and come a close second in Virginia then he could have strongly contested in Nevada and DC and by now we would have a tough race in Wisconsin with Kerry being forced to fend off a real Edwards challenge…rather than the rather desperate effort Edwards is being forced to launch at this stage…shame really but there you go…        

Yeah, I sympathize with you, I was hoping for Edwards as well...

I think OK was vital, together with NH, often overlooked. If Edwards had squeezed past Clark there, it would have been a definite humiliation for Clark, and might have given OK to Edwards. And then Clark would've dropped out, he almost did anyway, and most of his voters would have gone to Edwards, making VA competitive and TN go for Edwards and keeping him in the race.

[Gustaf]

Glad to see a fellow Edwards supporter…just a pity you can’t vote over here…forgot about NH had some of the polls been right and had Edwards got the 15% or so that some where predicting and Clark had been some where marginally ahead of Lieberman well things would have been different… in the end its sad to say it but Clark and Edwards cancelled each other out…

Would have been interesting to see if Edwards would still have been able to make a race of it with Kerry had Clark won OK but still dropped out…still it’ll all be over one way or another pretty soon…

Yeah, it would've been fun getting a vote, even though it would have been bad to be in MN, they don't vote until Super Tuesday.

I agree that the race would have been more fun to watch under those circumstances, but on the other hand Kerry has more of a chance in the general now that the party can rally behind a candidate earlier.