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  virginia. (search mode)
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Author Topic: virginia.  (Read 17508 times)
Sam Spade
SamSpade
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« on: March 25, 2008, 11:29:07 pm »

Ironically, the problem Obama will have in VA is the same area of the state that torpedoed Allen in 2006.  Life is kind of odd.

Anyway, I would predict that VA will probably be somewhere in-between +3-+5 of the national margin in 2008, depending on the candidate.  So yes, a VP from here could swing the state, maybe.
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Sam Spade
SamSpade
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*****
Posts: 27,683


« Reply #1 on: March 25, 2008, 11:36:20 pm »

Ironically, the problem Obama will have in VA is the same area of the state that torpedoed Allen in 2006.  Life is kind of odd.

Anyway, I would predict that VA will probably be somewhere in-between +3-+5 of the national margin in 2008, depending on the candidate.  So yes, a VP from here could swing the state, maybe.

With McCain running, Virginia will be a least a bit more GOP than the nation, against either Dem. Thus I don't consider it a critical swing state.

Ya, I meant +3 to +5 GOP.  Forgot to include that.
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